As the Autumn carnival draws to a close, we begin to look for progressive types heading to the Brisbane or Adelaide carnivals and suggest plays in early markets where possible.
Fast times were the order of the day at Randwick for Champagne Stakes day with the 1200m track and 1400m track records both broken. There was a distinct advantage in being rails in the run, whilst leading proved somewhat difficult. Overall the form looks trustworthy.
Higher Ground – Randwick Race 4: 1st ($5.50): There was a good push for this Chris Waller trained colt, jumping as a warm second-elect at $5.50 after opening a monster $14 when markets went up on the Wednesday. He was given a great ride by Schofield from barrier 1. Two pairs back the fence then easing out 3-4 pairs straight into a gap around the bend.
Particularly liked his final 200m. Was clearly headed by both Holy Snow and Tangled inside the final furlong, both smart horses in their own right, and fought hard to win by the narrow 0.1L margin. He looks a live chance in the QLD Derby and has been installed as an early $4.40 favourite accordingly. Being by So You Think the 2400m shouldn’t be a worry and he has a stack of upside after what was a particularly poor parade.
Targets: QLD Derby ($4.40)
Savapinski – Randwick Race 9: 3rd ($9.50): As the pattern of the day unfolded the mare was backed from as much as $15 into single-figure odds by jump time. This was undoubtedly because she mapped to get it her own way in front. Alas, that was not the case as Moher (stable mate to the short favourite Osborne Bulls…) eye balled her for most of the run. She beat him off with ease in the straight (beating him by over 3L in the end) and but weaken inside the final 200m to be beaten by 1.4L.
The form should really stack up out of this race with the fast pace allowing Osborne Bulls to reel off some ridiculous final sections (last 3 200m splits were sub 10s). With Savapinski only being first-up over a trip short of her best, she surely springboards right into her next run with two trials also under her belt.
Targets: Having won the G2 Matriarch over 2000m, a race such as the G2 Hollindale Stakes at WFA over 1800m at the Gold Coast 05/05 might not be out of her reach.
The $4.40 at this stage for Higher Ground looks well under the odds. Cannot suggest a play at this quote with the potential of many more 3YO to declare their hands.