Randwick for the traditional Anzac Day meeting where the rail is out 9m the circumference. This is usually a good meeting to follow on, as it is stronger than your usual midweek, horses use this to springboard to Wagga / Scone / Brisbane. The Sydney weather has been brilliant in the lead up and we will be on a good surface.
QUADDIES (races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 2,3 - 1,3,5 - 6 - 3,8
Wide Play: 2,3,11,12 - 1,2,3,5 - 5,6,8 - 1,2,4,5,8
BEST BET: R7 – 6. Cradle Mountain
Next Best Bet: R2 – 6. Orcein
Best Roughie: R5 – 11. Anna’s Joy
No3 Stone looks well set up here getting to the big track and the 1400m. He has been running right through the line in all runs and now at Randwick he gets the chance to wind up and finish over the top of them.
No4 Stryke Rock was good in a solid enough maiden last start and was finishing quite well. The form that he brings to this is quite good and has been holding up quite well, from gate 1 he gets a soft run and will be scraping the paint if the leaders roll off.
SCRATCHED - No5 All Too Free gets McEvoy here and should roll along in front here in an attempt to dominate the race, he gets a golden switch barrier wise as she won’t have to work too much from gate 6, as she did from 1 last start. Up to 1400m suits.
No1 African Academy worked through the line well enough fresh and is much suited up to the 1400m here with Glyn on board, he gets the last shot at them here, and just needs them to roll along in front to get over the top of them here.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 All Too Free
SCRATCHED - No6 Orcein (NEXT BEST BET) is a very good colt in the making and just needs to put it all together before the hype that he has around him is real. He was very good in all three runs in his first prep, while doing a lot wrong. He has trialled well on two occasions leading into the fresh run here and I like how the last was over the 1040m, as he is well set up for 1200m. He looks to be a horse who will be perfectly suited over further, and looks Waller’s QLD horse (Think Zoustar / Brazen Beau).
No2 Coterie was very good on debut running a very slick sectional late there, and was just no match for the winner, he should be improved at start two.
No1 Commander gets a quiet run from gate 1 here, and has had the one trial leading in and looks to be a nice prospect.
No7 Pembroke Castle resumes here and has been trialing quite well, the form out of his first prep has stood up quite well and he has to be respected here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Commander
No5 Eawase has been trialing well coming into the second preparation and should be a much stronger filly at prep two. She brings some very good form to this race, with horses like Futooh and Sweet Ava performing well over the carnival. Happy to be with her here.
No4 Colombina has been good in both runs this time in, with the form holding up all around her. She just got too far back last start and that’s what cost her in the end. From the gate (9) here Avdulla will get back in the run and have last shot at them.
No6 Galina was good in the Gimcrack on debut and that form has held up well enough this autumn. She has been trialing in good order coming into this and I like how she was held back from the autumn and looks as if she has developed into a nice filly.
No11 Separated has trialled in good style coming into the debut run and should jump and run them along here from gate 4. With a race that looks like it has no speed at all, she gets all favors here.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 Galina
No8 Velocita won well upon resumption over the 1400m and looks very well suited stepping up to the 1600m second-up from a spell, she looks to be a horse who is well suited over further than this and may well be an Oaks filly for the QLD carnival and I want to follow her going forward.
No4 Jaunty resumes here and looks to have last shot at them here from gate 10. She is a horse who will get back in the run and will come at them late with the one final sprint that she has when the race shape suits her, I am to assume she has had a jump out at home to resume at 1600m.
No2 Hussterical jumps quickly to the 1600m third-up from a spell here and looks to take up the lead from gate 8 and Clark on board. She was quick enough to lead over the 1200m last start, and should be able to here over the 1600m. Her only run over the mile was behind Dawn Wall and Lubiton, good enough here.
No5 Cambage wasn’t at all suited by the two runs over the 1400m when trying to qualify for the Provincial Championships, where she was close up in both runs. She has wins over 1600m and 2100m in her career and from the gate she is going to get back in the run and come at them late.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 Jaunty
No2 Misery resumes here for the new stable and has had the one trial coming into this and looked quite slick in that trial, Baker gets the claim with JVO here down to 58kgs. He has a perfect fresh record and from gate 9 he looks to jump and run them into the ground here, the 1000m record is very good and he is hard to beat.
No3 Malahat resumes here and was very good last start at $201 in the Coolmore, in a race where we have seen a stack of winners come from. He has been gelded coming into this and has had two solid enough trials coming into this, and the 1000m may just be a touch too short which is the only worry.
No12 Aboukir Bay resumed with a very fast win albeit in a weak race, he was there for the kill and got that for the confidence boost. He is well out of his grade here, and probably does need a touch of luck from barrier 1, but he looks a nice horse.
No11 Anna’s Joy (BEST ROUGHIE) comes well back in grade here from the Triscasy which was a race that has held up very well form wise as they ran sizzling time that day. She led them up there, and should be able to do the same again here. If she is left alone in front she can shock them.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 Anna’s Joy
No3 Drochaid was a good winner at the second start in Australia when winning in solid time. The big track and step up in distance here to 1800m is much more suitable. The trial between runs was quite good and McEvoy sticks on here, maybe he could be a Wagga Cup / Scone Cup horse if he was to win this.
No1 Etymology got the soft kill that he needed at the country level last start, he couldn’t not lose that race and belted them as he should have. Now that he has won that second race he could well go on with it, and the step to 1800m is suitable.
No5 Araaja resumes for the new stable here and has the first start in Australia and has trailed in solid enough style leading into this. She brings solid enough form to Australia from France. She looks to be a mare with good ability and I want her on my side.
No2 Karavali comes back to Randwick where she seems to go quite well at, and didn’t have the best of luck last start in the Epona. She has had a tick over trial between runs and went quite well there. She is a winner over 2000m in the past so 1800 shouldn’t be an issue
VALUE RUNNER: No5 Araaja
No6 Cradle Mountain (BEST BET) resumes here and looks to take that next step this time in after three brilliant wins in very fast time. He has had the one trial leading into this and won that trial in brilliant fashion, he has been subject to big offers from HK which have been rejected, so the Cunningham yard must have faith in this horse’s ability. If he is to go onto bigger heights in the winter, he does need to win this.
No5 Smartedge resumes here and brings some solid enough form to this. Form around Pierata is good enough for this, the trial was quite good, but he may want a touch further this time in.
No2 In Times Of War is well, In Times Of War, she needs everything to go her way to win a race, but will always take up a chunk of market percentage. 16 starts, 2 wins, and 11 placings says it all.
No8 Beacon resumes here and brings some solid enough form to this and has trialled in solid enough order twice coming into this. He won his only fresh race on debut and then probably trained off a touch late in his prep, at prep two he can improve.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Beacon
No3 Pure Rebel finds McEvoy here and was good enough last start when running through the line fresh. He brings a good record to this and some solid form last time in, he finds a winnable race here and gets a good chance on the map.
No8 Bright Future gets in well at the weights after the claim here and gets quite a soft run on the map from barrier 1. she was alongside Pure Rebel at Warwick Farm last start, she will need that touch of luck turning for home and if she gets that she is in the finish.
SCRATCHED - No13 Clevanic wasn’t in the best part of the track last start when closing off quite well at Muswellbrook. From gate 15 Avdulla has a few choices to make when he jumps, as he can stroll forward if he likes, or has to go right back. It’s tricky.
No5 Grand Finalist looks the leader here and gets a good jockey change with Shinn replacing the apprentice here. From gate 7 he can roll across at his own leisure and look to dominate the race. The form around him this time in is quite good and coming back to 1400m looks suitable, as I don’t think he runs out a strong mile.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 Clevannic