Hawkesbury for their standalone meeting, which brings us towards carnivals such as Wagga and Scone, we have a good day of racing here with nine races on the cards and good fields engaged through the day. The weather in the lead up has been good and the rail will be in the true position.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 4,9,10 - 2,5 - 2,12,13 - 3
Wide Play: 1,3,4,9,10,12 - 2,3,5,9,10 - 2,4,5,12 - 1,3,6,10,16
BEST BET: R6 – 4. White Moss
Next Best Bet: R1 – 1. She Knows
Best Roughie: R3 – 10. Gaulois
No1 She Knows (NEXT BEST BET) Wasn’t in the best part of the track at Flemington last start when down on the inside part, she beat her side off the field comfortably and they ran quite good figures there. She now comes back well in grade to a highway level where she has won before. From gate 9, Shinn has her out of trouble and she should be too good.
No3 Don’t Doubt Her was very good with the big weight last start when winning, good jockey change here and she will have last shot at them.
No2 Princess Lottie has put together a good little record over the short career thus far. She is a nippy little horse who will jump and run, the last 100m may be a worry.
No7 Our Rosemaree gets McEvoy here from a good gate (3) and brings solid enough form, from around the southern region of NSW.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 Don’t Doubt Her
No3 Orcein resumes here and I like the starting point of 1300m for him here, as he was a horse who in his first prep showed that he wanted more distance. He looks to be aimed at the 1600m Group 1 in Brisbane later this prep, he will charging at them late here, and could prove too classy.
No2 Graff was a very good winner on debut running away from them late, he is four weeks between runs, but has also had the trial in between runs which was quite good, 1300m looks a logical next step for him here.
No4 Momentum Factor was a very good winner in maiden class last start, he missed a run at Randwick last week which was meant to be over a mile, and I actually prefer him going 1100m-1300 here. From 2 Collett has him in behind the speed and he will be closing hard.
No1 Stunts comes out of some very good races, but has been slugged at the weights here, despite only being a maiden winner. 1300m does look much more suitable and he should find this easier than the Kindergarten.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 Momentum Factor
No10 Gaulois (BEST ROUGHIE) resumes here and wasn’t too bad last preparation when taking on some solid enough races. He had no luck whatsoever in both races in WA and arguably should have won both races there. He has been gelded coming into this preparation and could well explode on them here, after two solid trials
No3 Dagny needs a touch of luck from gate 10 here, but if Angland can find some cover on her, she will be the one who is finishing hardest here. The trial between runs was good, and I like how Waller held her back from some of the better autumn races.
No4 Philosophy just blew out late over 1400m first-up with the big weight, she comes back to the 1300m here and gets the blinkers on for the first time and they should sharpen her up that little bit, and she has a good second-up record.
No7 In Times Of War is well, In Times Of War, she needs everything to go her way to win a race, but will always take up a chunk of market percentage. 16 starts, 2 wins, and 11 placings says it all. Scratched out of Wednesday to run here.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 Gaulois
No1 Up ‘N’ Rolling finally steps up in distance here after three runs over the 1350m. Its only 150m, but that could make all the difference as he has been a touch too keen in all his runs this time in. Blinkers off here are an added bonus here, as it should help him relax.
No6 Hallelujah Boy probably should have won the provincial championships with even luck. He is yet to win a race since coming across to Australia but has run well in all races that he has run in, he may well have finally acclimatized and could run up to his Japan figures.
No7 Bezel just flogged them last start at the Kenso and was good against the bias there. He is well weighted here after the claim and may well becoming the horse that we all thought he was going to become 12 months ago.
No12 Taikomochi belted them as he should have at Wellington with the big weight fresh. He ran them along there and was too strong for them. Up in grade isn’t much of a worry as he has taken on this level in the past and gets on pace favours.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 Bezel
No9 Tango Rain has very good 1100m figures and has been gelded coming into this preparation. Go through all of his runs last time in and he was around some solid enough horses. McEvoy on from gate 11, he should jump and run them along here and could take that next step.
No4 Glenall has form around Tango Rain and has beaten him home in the past and now comes back in distance to the 1100m which is much more suitable than the 1400m that he took on last start. Blinkers on should sharpen him up.
SCRATCHED - No1 The Monstar resumes here without a trial, but brings very good fresh form to this. He is a very honest sprinter who is just below the top level and always runs well. From gate 7 he rolls across here and gives himself every chance.
No7 Passage Of Time has been trialing well coming into this preparation, and has a lot of upside coming into this prep, compared to most horses here. He is 2/2 first-up and brings quite good overall figures to this. He could spring a shock on them fresh.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 The Monstar
No4 White Moss (BEST BET) brings a perfect second-up record to this, and finds Collett back on board here who has a good record on her. Fresh she was quite good when dragging up the field to the tearaway leader and still closed off well, when she shouldn’t have. I love the step up to the 1300m here and she gets a perfect run behind the leaders here from barrier 8 and she looks to take that next step here.
No9 Invincibella was extremely good fresh when charging through the line behind White Moss and will appreciate the step up to the 1300m here, she gets a solid run here from gate 6 here, and Avdulla just needs to find clear room to be finishing over the top.
No10 Sedanzer will roll along in front here, and should appreciate the 1300m fresh. She resumed with a brilliant win last time in and although the 1300m may be short of her best, she will take a power of beating if she is left alone in front.
No12 Slow Burn was caught in the wrong part of the track last start ad finished off quite well there. She has form around all of these mares, and is a good mare on her day. She looks set to peak after three runs this time in.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 Slow Burn
No2 Ecuador looks to get quite an easy lead here and could take some catching, he was very good fresh after quite a poor prep last spring. He has a good second-up record with three wins and could just catch them all napping here.
No5 McCreery comes back to the 1600m here and should get a good run behind the leaders here from barrier two. He is a winner of this race in the past, and if he bought his best he could be too good for them, he hasn’t shown it in a while.
No9 My Nordic Hero has had the trial between runs and now should be set to run near his best second-up after a good blow out fresh. He does have an unbeaten second-up record and this does look to be a target second-up from Waller.
No3 Duca Valentinois has been a touch so so this time in and has had the trial between runs in an effort to shock him into gear. He is a winner at the track before and that is a help here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 My Nordic Hero
No2 Victorem was a brilliant winner of the Country Championships final in brilliant fashion, he now steps up in grade here and should be well suited at this level, he has drawn a wide gate, but not too much of an issue as he can roll across them here if given his head, he is a talent.
No12 Warranty gets a soft run on the map here from gate 2 and was a good winner fresh in very solid time. The step up to 1400m here is just perfect for her, as she is by All Too Hard, second-up here I want to be with her.
No13 Lisdoonvarna didn’t have the best of luck when stuck wide throughout last week at Randwick, complete forgive. This race does look to be a little weaker than that and she looks to get a better run of it here.
No5 So You Win looks to be on a QLD path and should be allowed to find the line here. Complete forgive last start in the Group 1 when not having much luck. The trial between runs was quite good and he should be finding the line.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 Lisdoonvarna
No3 Roman Son looks to be very well placed here after a strong win last start in very good fashion. He has the upside here that some of these don’t, and I want to be with him as he takes that next step.
No1 Naval Warfare was quite good when winning over the distance last start at Sandown. He gets in well at the weights after the claim here and has to be a chance yet again.
No6 Reiby The Red is going much better than her form card suggests. I think he can roll to the front here like he did at Wellington and looks to be much better suited up to the 2100m here.
No10 Mornington was very good closing off well behind Roman Son last start. He may well have acclimatized to Australian life now and should be much better suited second-up to the 2100m.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 Mornington