Day two of the Warrnambool carnival has 10 massive races with the features being the Galleywood Hurdle and the Wangoom Handicap. It is predicted that a soft track will be in place as was the case on the opening day. The rail remains in the true position for the entire circuit.
QUADDIE PICKS ( 7-8-9-10):
1,4,14 – 3,5,7,14 – 4,6 – 3,7,8,12
The interesting runner here is OWN SWEET WAY who resumes for Matt Cumani. The talented gelding has only had the two career runs and hasn’t been seen since September last year, however, look who he ran second to at his last start – Hiyaam! That form has stacked up a treat during the autumn carnival with Hiyaam winning the Group One Vinery Stud at Rosehill in March. If his fitness is anywhere near its peak, he should be winning.
Prediction: 1st: OWN SWEET WAY 2nd: Truly High; 3rd: Donnudbhan; 4th: Champagne Friday
TATA DA GOOSE (NEXT BEST) was hitting the line strongly last start and had the flashing light on it for sure and certain. Sitting last on the turn at Werribee over the 1400m on April 19, the mare made up a stack of ground in the home straight to finish fifth, beaten 4.75 lengths. The extra 300 metres of this race will definitely suit going on the way she found the line first-up.
Prediction: 1st: TATA DA GOOSE 2nd: Two Bills; 3rd: Monteegar; 4th: Unresolved
This appears to be a race with quite a few chances, however, we are sticking with the favourite BIG BAD BAZ. The Darren Weir-trained runner was last on the point of the home last start at Bendigo before flashing home to finish third to Queen Leonara beaten less than a length. The money was there for him that day too which saw him firm from $9-$5.50. Now with three runs back from a spell and an extra 100 metres to run here, we expect Big Bad Baz to break through at start number five.
Prediction: 1st: BIG BAD BAZ 2nd: Fanciful Toff; 3rd: Annunciate; 4th: Count Zero
A very open steeple as you would imagine but we think we’ve found one to follow in TROUBLE BOUND. The five-year-old was superb in running a gutsy fourth to Monarch Chimes at Pakenham on April 15, beaten less than a length in a great finish. Trouble Bound will appreciate the soft track as he has four placings from eight starts on similar surfaces and with a 3kg claim for Clayton Douglas, isn’t too harshly treated by his 67kgs considering he is a 120 rater.
Prediction: 1st: TROUBLE BOUND 2nd: Bold Bandit; 3rd: Hale Soriano; 4th: The Dominator
Tough race to dissect but we are giving ANNANICOLESNITZ another chance. The filly has been beaten by very narrow margins at her past two starts over 1400 metres and we feel the extra distance won’t hurt her this time around. She retains the services of Daniel Stackhouse with the pair to jump from barrier 3. A tough competitor, her tenacity will take her a long way in this one.
Prediction: 1st: ANNANICOLESNITZ 2nd: Von Mystic; 3rd: Uncle Larry; 4th: Creative Harmony
It is difficult to go past ANCIENT KING who seems to go to another level when switching to the jumps. A winner during this carnival 12 months ago, Ancient King has won his last four starts over the hurdles by a combined margin of more than 25 lengths. Making him an even more solid bet is that he’s beaten a few of his main dangers during that span. A winner of four starts and two placings on soft going, we’re on Ancient King to do the job once again.
Prediction: 1st: ANCIENT KING 2nd: About The Journey; 3rd: Dane Hussler; 4th: Honey Steel’s Gold
FURRION (BEST BET) is our on top selection here. The talented youngster has won his only two starts and was ultra-impressive in winning just over a week ago at Ballarat. Sitting near the tail for most of the journey, Furrion unleased a powerful sprint to overhaul the leaders and win by nearly five lengths! That was over 1400m which is what he faces here and although lumped with 60kgs, the Darren Weir runner gives the impression that much bigger things are in store.
Prediction: 1st: SCRATCHED - FURRION 2nd: Honey Esprit; 3rd: Evil Cry; 4th: Manhattan Arch
HEAVENLY THOUGHT is worth another chance and represents decent value too. The Darren Weir runner didn’t have much luck at Sandown last start but still hit the line strongly in much harder company. The extra 100 metres of today’s race will suit as will barrier three with Brad Rawiller aboard. The stablemate LUCKY FOR ALL is definitely the one to beat but is at very skinny odds.
Prediction: 1st: HEAVENLY THOUGHT 2nd: Lucky For All; 3rd: Peg Leg Ben; 4th: Supreme Renegade
Going with THINK BABE which is yet another runner from the Darren Weir barn. Was stuck wide the trip at Sandown first-up but still had the audacity to finish second. Goes good on a soft track and has won second-up in the past, so more ticks in his favour. Barrier 12 is the only concern but we’re willing to take the gamble. Look for NACAR, a stablemate of Think Babe, to run a cracker first-up while WEATHER CHANNEL is a good chance at eachway odds.
Prediction: 1st: THINK BABE 2nd: Nacar; 3rd: Weather Channel; 4th: Muccino