Flemington is the venue for metro racing this Saturday and punters are treated with huge field and plenty of value. Yes, a few of the shorties look hard to beat but for us, they definitely aren’t standouts so we are prepared to back against a few of them.
The surface is a Good 4 while the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
QUADDIE PICKS ( 6,7,8,9):
1,3,5,14 – 1,8,10,13 – 1,3,5,6 – 1,3,7,13
ARISTIA is our on top selection in what is a very difficult race to open the card. There are five first starters in the race which adds to the intrigue in these two-year-old races. Aristia has gone to the races twice and placed on both occasions. She debuted behind subsequent Stakes winner Lady Horseowner on December 17 before making up good ground to finish second to Rock Hard at Bendigo a fortnight ago. From barrier eight she is likely to get back but count on her to be running on at the finish.
Prediction: 1st: ARISTIA 2nd: Graceful Storm; 3rd: Crack The Code; 4th: Embrace Me
We’re prepared to give ALOFT another go in this race for the stayers. The Liam Howley runner was well backed late to win the Sydney Cup last start but something went amiss because he was beaten a long way out and failed to finish. If there was something majorly wrong then he wouldn’t be racing here. Prior to that he won the Roy Higgins Quality in effortless fashion. Drops to 57.5kgs with Fred Kersley’s claim and worth backing up on.
Prediction: 1st: ALOFT 2nd: Doukhan; 3rd: Benzini; 4th: Sherlock Holmes
Giving DIAMOND GRACE the nod in this one since she has drawn perfectly in barrier one. Luke Nolen jumps aboard and that is another positive for the five-year-old who will either lead or settle in just behind them. Trained by Mick Kent, Diamond Grace was given no peace in front last start at the Valley when fifth to Raindrops On Roses, who she beat the start prior, and the drop back to 2000m won’t hurt her one bit. With a Good track also playing in her favour, we think Diamond Grace is worth the gamble.
Prediction: 1st: SCRATCHED - DIAMOND GRACE 2nd: Almalita; 3rd: Bertwhistle; 4th: My Psychiatrist
Going for a bit of eachway value here in TRULY DISCREET. She has been racing really well of late without winning and you can totally forgive her last start when 10th to Think Bleue at this track on April 25. Go on her tough third to Savacool at Caulfield after she worked outside the leader and did all the work, only to be swamped by horses that enjoyed far better runs. She also finished third to So Far Sokool in the Bendigo Guineas. If Jye McNeil can do something from gate 11 she is definitely in the mix.
Prediction: 1st: TRULY DISCREET 2nd: Barbeque; 3rd: Keysor; 4th: Renegade
ROCK ‘N’ GOLD (NEXT BEST) is drawn nicely to get a good run in transit and is racing well enough to win this. The Ellerton & Zahra-trained runner ran a cracker two starts ago against Ashlor and that form is super, with that particular galloper then placing to Rich Charm in the VOBIS Gold Sprint and also the Wagga Town Plate. Forget Rock ‘N’ Gold’s last start as he got too far back and was never in the hunt. He gets some nice weight relief with Liam Riordan’s 3kg claim and has won over this track/distance previously.
Prediction: 1st: ROCK ‘N’ GOLD 2nd: Malibu Style; 3rd: Our Gladiator; 4th: Gun Case
A massive field of 17 runners so it’s best to shop around for some value. We have found SILVERA who resumes off a break but he is two wins from three starts first-up and does come to hand pretty quick. The gelding is a winner at his only start over this course and distance back in September last year and he followed that up with a great third to the classy Odeon at Caulfield. Barrier 18 is a worry but with a 3kg claim he is worth the gamble.
Prediction: 1st: SILVERA 2nd: Galaxy Raider; 3rd: Another Bullseye; 4th: Famelist
While Land Of Plenty looks the one to beat we can’t dive in to the short price in this field. SOVEREIGN NATION is going well and won here over the same distance two starts ago knocking off the highly promising Theanswermyfriend. Yes, 59kgs (with a claim) is a concern but Ethan Brown rides well and should have him in the firing line from barrier five. He should have finished closer than seventh to Dodging Bullets in the Golden Mile after being held up badly in the straight.
Prediction: 1st: SOVEREIGN NATION 2nd: King’s Command; 3rd: Land Of Plenty; 4th: Kapaulenko
MAGIC CONSOL (BEST BET) is now short enough but jees he looks well placed in this. The eight-year-old is racing in great style, finishing second at Caulfield two starts back after being wide and then making the most of a good run to beat the promising Top Of The Range last start. He drops to 51kgs, gets a good track and is in form. Top pick.
Prediction: 1st: MAGIC CONSOL 2nd: Tarquin; 3rd: Turnitaround; 4th: Boom Time
CATESBY gives us a bit of value heading into the final event on the card. The Godolphin gelding was luckless last start when three-wide the entire race but she only tired the last 100m or so to finish sixth, beaten less than three lengths behind Reilmartini. The race favourite, Iconoclasm, comes out of the same race and only beat her home late while Naantali had the softer run and couldn’t get past her. Catesby does have to lump 59kgs but is definitely a good price to back eachway compared to the short quote about the favourite who he meets a kilo better off.
Prediction: 1st: CATESBY 2nd: Iconoclasm; 3rd: Mr Storm; 4th: Moana Jewel