Blackbook Watch from the Run to the Rose 09/09/2018

A boom blue jacket import, a first-upper with plenty of come, a green 4yo and the flashing light run of the day round out our horses to follow for this week.

Mon, 10 Sep, 12:00 AM



Home of The Brave – Rosehill Race 5: 1st ($5.50): The Godolphin import lived up to his trial hype in the Theo Marks with a dashing all the way victory. Just as he did at Caulfield first-up he travelled like the winner in the run. However, unlike in Melbourne he got on the right leg around the bend and never gave the rest a chance. Holding the likes of D’Argento and Trapeze Artist at bay with ease.


The Irish gelding’s high cruising speed will ensure he always gets a look-in. Still with improvement left physically, he’ll have his hoof on the till up to 1400m next start. Oozes class.


Record: 20:7-5-2


Possible Targets: The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m).  


Maximus – Rosehill Race 8: 2nd ($10): Brilliant first-up performance over the 1100m. Travelling well in the early stages, he just dropped the bit slightly coming to the final 600m and lose a few lengths. But he picked that ground up and more when Berry popped him the question. Rattling home in race fastest time to just miss the smart Soothing.


Nothing to look at in the parade, the 5yo gelding still has plenty of improvement to come. The way he relaxed, 1400m might be his best trip this prep. Sticking around this grade, he will be winning very soon.  


Record: 12:4-3-3


Possible Targets: BM88 1200m, Randwick 24/09.    


Lucky For All – Moonee Valley Race 2: 3rd ($5.50): Returning for the first time as a 4yo, it’s evident the gelding still has plenty to learn. Straightening up off the bend he began to let down like the winner, but layed in badly and went to the line not fully tested throwing his head about.


His 3yo campaign culminated in starting a short $4.40 in the G1 QLD Derby, so he obviously has the ability. In the perfect stable to iron out the green-ness, akin to Humidor prior to winning a G1 Australian Cup. Nothing the magic waters of Warrnambool can’t do.


Record: 7:3-0-1


Possible Targets: BM78 Caulfield 22/09.


Belgravia – Moonee Valley Race 2: 4th ($41): Comes through the same race as our previous black booker. Despite the race only being BM78 grade it was run 2.5L faster than the G2 Dato’ Tan Chin Nam over the same distance on the same day. Keen this form stacks up.


Coming from close to last and the widest on the bend, the team Williams import produced a typical eye-catching run, savaging the line in 35.76s for his final 600m. His best work was done past the post, powering away from the rest of the field Mallyon could barely pull him up. He’ll only come on from this run - the betting drift was mirrored in his parade – and hopefully reach the form that saw him competitive in a G2 Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot last year.


Record: 8:2-0-1


Possible Targets: Caulfield Cup (2400m), Melbourne Cup (3200m).      



Suggested Bets:


Home of The Brave: Beadman instantly suggested the Sir Rupert Clarke as his next run post-race. With another Godolphin Horse in Osborne Bulls installed at $6.50 (eq. fav.), the $11 for Home of The Brave will likely halve come race day if Osborne doesn’t line up. Suggesting a strong bet at the $11.


Belgravia: At $151 for the Caulfield Cup and the Melbourne Cup, couldn’t knock having a peanut on him in either, but need to see him string a few good performances together for any serious betting.

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