This is a tough meeting to find winners. They certainly don’t bounce out at you as they did at Caulfield last Saturday where the winners stood out like lighthouses. You will have to do your homework and keep a close eye on betting moves as there are a lot of newcomers and horses racing first-up. With the temperature in the low 30s this meeting should be fantastic at night. The rail is back to the true position and the track is rated as a Good 4.
No 3 THUNDER CONNECTION Was run down by a smart type and makes strong appeal.
No 1 RENEW Won at Morphettville over this distance and respect here.
No 5 GILAGO Was first-up off a 182-day break and will be fitter.
No 4 BAYANOVA Got too far back last time and give another chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No 4 BAYANOVA
No 2 AGGRAVATE Looks hard to beat on Flemington jump out. Has lugging bit on.
No 6 MERCHANT NAVY Was a $350,000 Easter sales graduate who performed okay in a Caulfield jump out.
No 8 RIEL REWARD Won a trial over 800m at Cranbourne on February 7. Respect.
No 3 BEL SONIC (Best Roughie) Ran a solid fourth in a trial over 1040m at Geelong on January 30.
VALUE RUNNER: No 3 BEL SONIC
No 1 CHINA DREAM The stable has bug wraps but has yet to deliver the goods. Respect.
No 8 RANSOM MONEY Ran well at Stawell at debut and will be improved for the effort.
No 10 ASHLEIGH RAE Ran a fair trial and was not pushed out at a recent Flemington jump out.
VALUE RUNNER: No 10 ASHLEIGH RAE
No 10 MONTOYA’S SECRET On her recent effort at Moonee Valley she rates well in an open race.
No 11 ROCK GISELLE Well-bred filly who should be improved on her last start and rates highly.
No 1 ALLY’S REWARD Racing well and had no luck whatsoever last time out.
No 4 ISABELI Did well enough off a 281-day break first-up and would respect here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 ISABELI
No 11 WHAT A STRYKER At two starts back this campaign has done a good job. Latest ran home strongly to snatch fourth place over 1400m against her own sex here on February 16. Noel Callow keeps the ride and she drops 2kg to 55.5kg.
No 10 SUNNY BLU SKY She has been so consistent and will be a chance again here. Latest ran home well to finish fourth over 1400m at Sandown on February 15. With Ethan Brown’s 2kg claim she carries 55kg and must rate.
No 3 SINGLE NOTE Was most firm in betting at $4.60 when scoring a smart win over 1400m here against her own sex on February 16. She is weighted again on 59.5kg and Ryan Malopney keeps the ride jumping from gate four.
No 4 NORTHERN LION Came in for good support in betting when shortening from $12 into $9 before finishing a sound fourth over 1200m at Sandown on February 15. Team Hayes have removed the blinkers this time out and would keep him safe.
VALUE RUNNER: No 4 NORTHERN LION
No 10 LADY SKILLS (BEST BET) Is a most talented filly on the comeback trail. She did enough in her trial to finish third over 800m at Cranbourne on February 7 to suggest she is fit enough for this assignment. She has a win and a third from four starts and is well drawn in gate seven to be prominent in what is a tough meeting to find a special.
No 4 FOUR SISTERS Has a record of a win and two seconds at four starts and would respect.
No 1 STAR IMPULSE Has a nice alley in six and should go well in this field.
No 2 EFFORTLESS POWER Can surge forward and will relish the 22-day break. Pay to forgive last run.
VALUE RUNNER: No 2 EFFORTLESS POWER
No 12 I BOOGI (NEXT BEST BET) She was heavily backed into a $1.55 favourite and got the chocolates with an easy 2 ¼ length win in a 1600mn maiden at Ballarat on February 7. She gets top jockey Damian Lane to ride and she drops 3.5kg for her rise in class to 55kg. Has the speed to cross from gate 14 and lead again here.
No 1 RUTHVEN Hails from a top yard and will relish her drop in grade from Caulfield class to here.
No 2 VANTAGGIO Racing in peak form and won at Sandown last start. She makes appeal here.
No 3 LOTION Rarely puts a hoof wrong but finds winning difficult. Will again be in the thick of the action.
VALUE RUNNER: No 3 LOTION