Penrith have a great chance to notch their first home win of the season whey host Newcastle.
The Mountain Men had to play the opening two rounds of the competition on the road before hosting the Roosters last Saturday night, however, it wasn’t a dream start for the home fans with a narrow defeat.
PENRITH didn’t lose too many at home last season and a loss to the Roosters isn’t the worst thing to happen to them. With all due respect to their opponents here, Penrith will face a far easier assignment and are deserved favourites.
Newcastle are proving to be nuisance value for their opponents so far this season and go into this off the back a 24-18 defeat to Souths.
LET’S GET GOING
It hasn’t been the ideal start to the season for Anthony Griffin’s men so this very winnable game will show us where their attitude is.
Having been hammered by the Dragons in Round 1, they bounced back to belt the Wests Tigers before losing a thriller to the Roosters which is one of the best formlines of the competition so far.
The Panthers definitely had their chances to win last week but were held at bay by an outstanding defence. A similar performance here against the Knights defence should yield them more points.
Newcastle definitely won’t be the easy beats they were last season.
Already they have proved to be difficult to overcome despite having limited resources and playing experience compared to many sides in the competition.
Newcastle knocked off the Titans a fortnight ago and went into the break last week against Souths in front, however, couldn’t quite maintain the rage in the second 40 minutes. If they learn to play a solid 80 minutes then expect them to secure a few upsets in 2017.
Penrith has dominated the Knights in recent times by winning four of the past five clashes.
Margin bettors would be interested to know that in those wins the Panthers have done it easily with a winning average margin of 24.5 points.
When it comes to playing at Pepper Stadium the reading isn’t any better for Newcastle fans with three defeats in their past five visits. They haven’t won there since 2013.
Penrith ($1.20 @ Will Hill) look to have too much firepower here.
It has been evident over the past fortnight that Nathan Clearly, Matt Moylan and Te Maire Martin are beginning to click again off the work of their forwards which will benefit this week with the return of Bryce Cartwright. He will be replacing the injured James Fisher-Harris.
Newcastle will play their part and definitely won’t be roadkill here but it’s hard to see them knocking off this talented Panthers outfit on the road.
Maybe the exotics are the way to treat this match.
Penrith have scored the opening try in their past two encounters so maybe a tenner on Tyrone Peachey or Dallin Watene-Zelezniak could net you some value. We recommend you also look at the Time of 1st Try market and go for anything Over 15 minutes as the Panthers have begun slowly in all three games so far.
MATCH WINNER TIP: PENRITH
FIRST TRYSCORER: TYRONE PEACHEY
MARGIN BETTING: PANTHERS 13+
OTHER TIP: TIME OF FIRST TRY – AFTER 15 MINUTES