Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

The Titans will be out for revenge when they host Newcastle in the first leg of ‘Super Saturday’

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 27 Apr, 7:21 AM

 

The Titans will be out for revenge when they host Newcastle in the first leg of ‘Super Saturday’.

 

Gold Coast lost the last time these met back in Round 2 at Hunter Stadium but the Titans have improved since then even though their record doesn’t show it.

 

They enter this game with a bit of confidence having knocked off the defending premiers 16-12 at Shark Park which is good enough form for them to take down Newcastle.

 

For their part the Knights haven’t been the easybeats from last season but they still have just one win from their past 26 games spanning both the 2016 and 2017 campaigns. They will go into this having dropped a 24-12 decision to the Cowboys in Townsville.

 

REINFORCEMENTS DO THE JOB

Coach Neil Henry was able to reintroduce Jarryd Hayne and Kevin Proctor to the side last week and the result paid dividends.

 

Hayne was influential in setting up a few tries as they upset the Sharks 16-12 while Proctor’s presence in the forwards gave them some much needed bulk up front.

 

The 12 points they conceded was a season-low for the Gold Coast who are ranked last in the NRL in defence having leaked 218 points in the first eight rounds.

 

While their defence has been a concern throughout most of 2017, crossing the tryline hasn’t been an issue as they have scored 172 points to be ranked only behind the Dragons and Raiders.

 

DEJA VU

NEWCASTLE keep trying their guts out but simply don’t have the quality of cattle to get the job done.

 

Once again, as has been the case in recent weeks, Newcastle were sticking with the Cowboys and even had chances to put on some more points but were lacking when it came to direction.

 

They were clearly outrun by the Cowboys (1508 v 1102) and had possession against them and at this stage they are a side that need those two stats to be heavily in their favour.

 

THE HISTORY

Newcastle has won three of the past five encounters.

 

The latest of those was back in Round 2 when the Knights racked up a 34-26 win at Hunter Stadium which snapped a 19-game losing streak.

 

It was the fourth straight time in this fixture that the winning team had scored 26 points or more and the third time in the past four that the winners were able to surpass 30 points.

 

More often than not these contests haven’t been close with a look at the historical trends revealing an average winning margin of 18.4 points.

 

Looking at games solely at Cbus Super Stadium and the Knights have won four of the six clashes but lose at their most recent visit back in the opening round last year, 30-12.

 

THE VERDICT

Gold Coast are one of the better bets on the weekend but they aren’t at any fancy odds ($1.25 @ Topbetta).

 

The value is going to come in the shape of exotics markets such as 1st Tryscorer, Margins, Half/full double etc.

 

We think we have found one at juicy odds with a Gold Coast win by 13-18 points returning $6 @ Sportsbet.

 

Newcastle will once again them headaches but the fact they haven’t won on the road in 17 matches and the Titans will have their tails in the air following their win over Cronulla last week suggests the home side are going to win this.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

TOTAL POINTS OVER 44.0


VALUE PLAY:

GOLD COAST 13-18 POINTS WINNING MARGIN

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