Can the Kiwis notch three straight over the chooks?
It hasn’t happened for six years but this current edition of the Warriors are a different breed to the ones that have been running around in recent years.
New Zealand will be hoping to lose three straight after recent losses to the Raiders and Melbourne but they had their opportunities in both, especially last Tuesday, where they went down swinging at AAMI Park 20-14.
Sydney Roosters got the better of the Dragons in Golden Point in their ANZAC Day thriller, saluting 13-12 in front of a packed Allianz Stadium.
Rarely have you ever been able to label the Warriors as a reliable betting proposition.
Consistency has been the biggest key to the New Zealanders, or lack of it, ever since their inception into the competition but this year with the addition of Kieran Foran they look the sharpest they have in years.
They have won three of their four home games this season with the only defeat coming to Melbourne early in the year. Those are the only wins they have so far with a 0-4 record for away games hurting them at present.
In each of their wins they have scored 22 points or more so on that basis the Total Home Team Points Over 20.5 @ $2.25 with Sportsbet looks a nice bet.
Even though they are coming into this game off back-to-back losses, both of those were away games and funnily enough saw the Warriors produced their two best defensive displays of the year in conceding just 22 points in total against the Raiders and Storm.
Sydney Roosters haven’t won too many times on ANZAC Day but they emerged victorious in one of the games of the season last week.
Going into the break 6-nil down, they benefited from the Dragons having Gareth Widdop off injured in the second 40 minutes by putting on 12 points before the Red V forced Golden Point with a late try.
It was halfback Mitchell Pearce which broke his run of outs with field goals who finally sealed the deal for the chooks.
How will they back up, especially just five days after that triumph, with a trip across the Tasman? That was just their first win against an opponent currently in the top eight this season.
NEW ZEALAND won both encounters with the tricolours in 2016 by narrow margins of two and four points respectively.
They are aiming for three consecutive wins over the Roosters for the first time since 2011 with the Roosters having the better of them since then, taking six of the 10 encounters.
At Mt Smart Stadium the Roosters haven’t enjoyed the best of times, winning just twice in their past seven visits to the ground.
Both sides are on the short back-up so which one of them comes through their recent games unscathed in terms of injury and suspension will play some part in determining the winner here.
Don’t laugh but we are going out on a limb and taking the Warriors at the price ($2.20 @ Topbetta).
Their efforts over the past fortnight indicate to us that they are a side on the way up and if it wasn’t for some ill discipline, they could have snatched the two points off the Storm last week. They missed a whopping 39 tackles and lost the penalty count 8-5 – you can’t do that against a worst team in the NRL!
Back playing at home where they have been solid so far in 2017 might be a good enough reason to take them over the Roosters, although they haven’t been hopeless on the road with a 4-1 record so far.
It’s not often we suggest you back the Kiwis but this is one game that we get the sense things will click for them. Look to Shaun Johnson to Score A Try in this fixture as he has three tries in two games against the Roosters.
SHAUN JOHNSON ANYTIME TRYSCORER