Two teams struggling for consistency makes for one hard night on the punt!
Fair dinkum you wouldn’t want to have your last few dollars on either of these teams at the moment would you?
The Tigers have swapped losses and wins for five weeks and come into this off a narrow defeat to the Sharks at Leichhardt Oval 22-16. Souths are actually a bit worse off heading into Round 10 with five losses in their past six games including a 46-8 hiding last start against Manly.
If the last five weeks is anything to go by then the Tigers will be winning this game.
The past five rounds have seen Wests Tigers go L, W, L, W, L and despite the dramas surrounding the club one could argue that their two recent losses to the sharks and eels could have easily been wins.
One of the big things going for the Tigers here is their attack has been pretty good over the past four games in averaging 20.5 points during this span. Another big tick is they have done that against some of the better teams in the competition (Cowboys, Eels, Bulldogs, Sharks).
On that basis this game against the bunnies is far easier to what they’ve had to deal with of late.
SOUTHS are going like busted arses – and we mean that literally!
Losing five of the past six and getting smashed by 13 points or more in four of those simply isn’t good enough for a team that won the premiership just a few seasons ago.
Granted they’ve lost one of the best players in the game in Greg Inglis but surely he wouldn’t be able to stop the amount of points the defence has been leaking in 2017. Currently the third-worst defence in the competition, Souths are conceding 25ppg with 95 of those in the past three games.
It’s all good news in this regard if you are a Tigers supporter.
Wests Tigers have won the past four encounters against their traditional rivals including their meeting earlier in the season when they racked up an impressive 16-point win back in Round 1.
Margin bettors are advised to have a few dollars on a Tigers 13+ win ($4.50 @ bet365) considering their average margin of victory in their past four games against Souths is 17 points.
We are banking on the Tigers here despite being slight outsiders.
Sure, the loss of Aaron Woods will reduce their punch up front but there has been plenty of positive signs to come out of the Tigers since Ivan Cleary took over the coaching role.
James Tedesco, who is off to the Roosters next year, has been named despite coming off injured against Cronulla and with his future settled you can rest assured the livewire fullback will be firing for this.
Expect to see some bounce back factor from Souths after one of their worst performances in recent times but they need to improve significantly in a number of areas if they are to win this.
One of the highlights of this game will be former Tiger Robbie Farah meeting his old club yet again but Michael Maguire has named him on the bench for Friday night’s fixture.
KEVIN NAIQAMA FIRST TRYSCORER – has a try in his past three games and four in his past five.