Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders (Sunday) Betting Preview & Tips

This is Canberra’s game for the taking so throw them into your Multis!

Oddschecker
 | 
Sat, 13 May, 11:58 AM

 

This is Canberra’s game for the taking so throw them into your Multis!

 

Ricky Stuart’s side have been spluttering along for the first nine rounds and will be bitterly disappointed with their 4-5 record so far which sees them entering this match on a bit of a downer. They’ve dropped their past two including last start when they had the Bulldogs shot but let them off the hook to go down by six points.

 

Newcastle has shown signs of light at the end of the tunnel, however, they are missing a class factor to their squad which explains why they have only won one match this season. They will face the Raiders after having been smacked by 30 points against the Titans last start.

 

BIG WIN OR NOTHING

Canberra’s performances this season have meant they either sink or swim.

 

In all four of their wins they have won by 12 points or more while two of those victories have been by 26 and 40 points respectively.

 

Their defeats, on the other hand, have been pretty close most of the time with four of their losses being by a converted try or less with the only exception being their 26-point drubbing to Cronulla back in Round 2.

 

Even last start against the Bulldogs they raced out to a 10-4 lead at half-time but when they couldn’t land the killer blow, Canterbury ground their way back into the match and worried them out of it.

 

BOTTOM OF THE LEAGUE

NEWCASTLE is once again on the bottom of the NRL table

 

Nathan Brown’s side has the worst attack and defence in the competition and their recent performances, although brave for the most part, haven’t been enough to get them a second win in 2017.

 

Such has been the plight for Newcastle in recent times that they’ve won just two of their past 27 games.

 

THE HISTORY

Simply going off what we saw last season then it might be worth sacrificing a few dollars just to have on the Knights ($5.50 @ Topbetta).

 

Back in Round 3 of 2016 they played out a 24-all draw after Golden Point wasn’t enough to separate the sides. The sequel, which was 14 games late, produced another thrilling finale with the Raiders pegging back to the Knights to win 29-25 in Golden Point. On that occasion, Newcastle had raced out to an 18-nil lead but couldn’t quite hold on.

 

Overall it’s Canberra who holds the slight edge historically 17 wins to 15, however, there have been two draws thrown into the mix as well. Newcastle hasn’t beaten the Raiders since Round 6 2014.

 

THE VERDICT

There can only be one winner here – Canberra.

 

Yes they are short with the best possible price available at the time of writing being $1.20 at Palmerbet, TopBetta and Unibet but you’ve all heard the saying “short but sweet”. Stuart’s side is definitely one to beef up your Multis this weekend.

 

While their form has been a bit inconsistent we think they will smell blood in the water her and blow away the hapless Knights so the 19+ Winning Margin option ($2.40 @ Unibet) is where the value is.

 

CANBERRA will simply have too much firepower through the likes of Jordan Rapana, Joey Leilua, Jarrod Croker etc and that is even taking into account the unavailability of brutal forward Josh Papali.

 

Newcastle will make a fist of it in the early stages but Nathan Brown simply doesn’t have the cattle to compete against the top tier sides in the competition and as such, we should see an exhibition here.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

CANBERRA


VALUE PLAY:

CANBERRA 19+ WINNING MARGIN

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