What a ripper of a game to finish things off in Round 10!
Parramatta are the outsiders heading into this but we think the bookies have made a mistake here so the price on offer for the Eels ($2.75 @ Topbetta) who are riding a three-game winning streak, looks fat.
Brad Arthur’s side will be full of confidence having knocked off the Cowboys in Round 9 at 1300Smiles Stadium while the Roosters crossed the Tasman and fell just short of knocking off the Warriors, 14-13.
RETURN TO FORM
In 2017 when Parramatta have been hot, they’ve been hot.
Opening the season with consecutive wins they then went cold with a four-game skid but since then have turned things around with a hat-trick of wins and are chasing four in a row for the first time in seven years.
Very few punters expected them to go to Townsville a fortnight ago and beat the Cowboys by 20 points. That form has since been vindicated with North Queensland handing out a 30-14 drubbing to the Bulldogs at ANZ Stadium.
They’ve kept their opponents to an average of 13.33 points during their three-game win streak with their defence one of the best in the NRL over the past three rounds.
There is no doubt that the form surrounding the Roosters is pretty good.
Going 6-3 through the opening nine rounds has seen the Roosters firm in premiership betting and rightly so as they’ve boasted one of the best defences in the NRL, with only Melbourne and Cronulla conceding fewer points.
The one criticism of the Roosters though is that they’ve won matches they were expected to win while against sides with high-powered attack they’ve struggled. This also includes the ANZAC Day game when they were held to nil in the first half by the Dragons, however, the game changed when Gareth Widdop went off at half-time.
For their own attack, Trent Robinson’s side began the season with a flurry but have only averaged just 10 points per game in the past four matches.
Sydney Roosters have had the wood on Parramatta for a while now by winning eight of the past 12 encounters.
The Eels, however, have won two of the past three outings with both of those being by narrow margins of two and four points respectively. Splitting those efforts was a Roosters win by 10.
When you look at games played at Allianz Stadium though the balance of power is definitely with the chooks who have won four straight against the Blue and Golds at the venue. Overall, Sydney Roosters have won five of their last six games there with the only defeat coming to Manly earlier this season.
We fancy the Eels to cause the upset here.
Corey Norman is back to his best form and Arthur has most of his side to call on including the brilliant Bevan French who has been named to return from injury. Throw in the fact speedster Semi Radradra’s had his personal matters settled now and they are looking the best they have been for a while. It will be interested to see how Will Smith goes at five-eighth on debut.
The Roosters have had to deal with gun centre Shaun Kenny-Dowall being out after breaching the game’s illicit drugs code so promising youngster Latrell Mitchell has been named to return to the side for the first time since Round 6.
Although their defence has been solid we think Parramatta’s attack might be a bit too much for them despite playing at home.
PARRAMATTA 1-12 WINNING MARGIN