Are the Knights ready to cop another pounding from the Panthers?
They have been pumped by a combined total of 76 points in their past two defeats to the Panthers, however, things may be a little different this time.
Newcastle are going into the match off their second win of the season, beating Canberra 34-20 which takes them past their entire season tally for wins from 2016.
Their confidence will be sky high but the same could be said for the Panthers who produced one of the best comebacks of all time to beat the Warriors 36-28 at the foot of the mountains.
NEWCASTLE have had just three wins in the past two seasons and their two victories this season have been when they scored 34 points.
That is their season high when it comes to scoring in a single game but attack has been a huge problem for Nathan Brown’s men who have only scored 164 points in total through 10 rounds. Giving that some perspective, only the Tigers and Bulldogs have scored less.
Defence has also been a huge issue for the Knights with nine of their 10 matches so far in 2017 seeing them conceded at least 20 points and the only time they didn’t was against the Sharks when they lost 19-18.
Are PENRITH ready to start making some progress up the ladder?
Down 28-6 at the break and looking hopeless, Penrith came out swinging hard in the second 40 minutes to put 30 unanswered points on the Warriors to record a memorable win.
That effort saw them break a five-game losing streak with their previous win going back to Round 4 – against the Knights!
Similar to Newcastle, defence has been a big problem for the Panthers who are leaking 25.83ppg in the past six weeks.
Penrith has bossed the Knights in recent years by taking five of the past six games.
Funnily enough the past seven clashes between the teams has resulted in double digit margins with six of those being by 13 points or more. These teams met back in the opening month of competition with the Panthers winning 40-nil.
Points aren’t usually a problem in this fixture so the Under 40.5 in Total Points ($2.45 @ Sportsbet) looks a nice investment.
We think the Panthers are ready to go back-to-back. Sure, they’re no value at the $1.30 (TopBetta) but look a far better bet than the Knights who will be difficult to beat at their home ground.
Interestingly this game could be settled in the second half.
Newcastle has given up half-time leads on four occasions this season but Penrith seems to travel far better in the second half of contests.
That leads us to the value bet in this game of Newcastle / Penrith Half-Full double which is paying $8 @ Sportsbet.
NEWCASTLE / PENRITH HALF-FULL DOUBLE