South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm (Sunday) Betting Preview & Tips

Melbourne will look to return to the top of the table against one of their favourite teams.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 19 May, 8:39 AM

 

Melbourne will look to return to the top of the table against one of their favourite teams.

 

After one of the most memorable games of the season the Storm were beaten 38-36 by the Titans to set a joint record for the highest points scored by a losing team.

 

They will be determined to get back to winning ways here against a Souths side they have had the wood on ever since their inception into the competition in 1998.

 

Souths have had a wretched year so far but go into this with a head full of steam after blitzing the Wests Tigers 28-8.

 

DEFENSIVE LAPSES

A cornerstone of Melbourne’s success over the past two seasons has been their defence, however, they’ve leaked far more points than they would’ve liked in the past few weeks.

 

A fortnight ago they conceded 22 against the Dragons while the Titans ran in 38 last week but it must be said that both those teams are ranked one and two for points scored in the NRL.

 

It seems as though teams that do have somewhat of an attacking flair can unlock the Storm defence while the rest of the NRL only battles against the southern raiders.

 

Their own attack has become slightly better at each game and is now averaging 22.4ppg after a slow start to the season.

 

ONE GAME WONDERS?

SOUTHS have generally been awful for most of the season but last week they showed signs that their campaign isn’t dead in the water just yet.

 

They have won four of their 10 matches but the main issue for them has been an inability to win at home. In four games as the home side they are 0-4 while they boast a winning 4-2 record on the road.

 

Even though they are the home side in this match, the game is being played over in Perth where the Bunnies actually have a half-decent record. Souths have taken a game to the west for the past seven seasons and have won three of their past four visits there but did lose last season to the Titans in a thriller, 29-28.

 

THE HISTORY

This is probably one of the worst records one team has over another in professional sport.

 

Souths have beaten Melbourne just four times since 1998 while Melbourne has won 22 of the clashes between the sides.

 

Michael Maguire’s side last beat Melbourne in the 2013 Qualifying Final but have since dropped three straight. In those three losses the average winning margin for Melbourne is six points so the Storm 1-12 Winning Margin option ($2.40 @ bet365) does look appealing.

 

THE VERDICT

MELBOURNE STORM should good too strong here.

 

You can get as much as $1.40 (TopBetta) about them which is pretty good for a side that has gone 8-2 through 10 rounds.

 

With Souths showing signs of life last week we think this one is going to be a bit harder for Melbourne than most people think, however, they should still have the class to get the job done.

 

Don’t forget that last season Souths nearly caused the upset of the season against Melbourne at AAMI Park, losing a heartbreaker 15-14 thanks to a field goal in Golden Point to Cameron Smith.

 

The neutral venue of nib Stadium may also play in favour of Souths so if you want to back them to get off to a flying start, the $3.05 @ Unibet about them to be leading at half-time could be the way to go.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

MELBOURNE


VALUE PLAY:

MELBOURNE 1-12 WINNING MARGIN

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