Punters will get plenty of value when first plays second in a battle of the big guns this Saturday night.
It hasn’t been too often that you can get a decent price about the Storm or Roosters in 2017 so whichever way you decide to go you are going to be getting ‘overs’ for either side.
The Roosters go into this match with the only the Storm in front of them on the table and should be fresh coming off the bye, however, they will have several key players backing up from State Of Origin.
The same can be said for the Storm who will have the ‘Big Three’ backing up from Game II at ANZ Stadium so it will be interesting to see if all players come through the game unscathed and take their place on the field.
Mitchell Pearce is playing arguably the best football of his career and if the Roosters are any chance of winning this game then he simply must play.
His combination with Luke Keary has seen the Roosters jump to an impressive 10-4 record while their attack is ranked third in the NRL and averages an impressive 22.14ppg.
Pearce didn’t take to the field in the game following Origin I but that didn’t prevent the chooks from beating the Broncos, minus Anthony Milford, at Allianz Stadium.
The venue has become a fortress for the Roosters in 2017 with the tricolours enjoying a 4-1 record at the venue while they have won seven of their past eight at the ground dating back to last season.
Punters should note that this game, although technically at home for the chooks, is at the neutral venue of Adelaide Oval.
MELBOURNE’s away record is the best in the competition and goes a long way to explaining why they are sitting on top of the NRL ladder.
A perfect 7-0 on the road this season will give the Storm big a chance in any game they contest. With Billy Slater, Cameron Smith and Cooper Cronk set to back up from Origin along with Will Chambers, they have to be given a big chance here and the $1.84 @ Unibet about their chances could be the best price we see available for them for quite some time.
We recommend caution though because Craig Bellamy could be tempted to rest one or more of his Origin stars depending on how they have come through Wednesday’s game.
MELBOURNE has the wood on most teams in the competition and the Roosters aren’t any different.
The Storm has won four of the past five and the interesting thing when it comes to margin betting is that considering both these sides have been regularly involved in finals football in recent years, the average winning margin in these clashes is 17 points per game since 2014.
A Storm 13+ win is returning a very juicy $3.60 @ William Hill.
We are going for the outsiders here and tipping the Roosters ($2.15 @ bet365).
They do look one of the more likely challengers to the Storm for the title and we could be in for a Grand Final preview on Saturday night. The neutral venue does throw the formguide out of the window in a way, as does the fact so many players could be backing up from State Of Origin on Wednesday night.
We have already seen that Melbourne don’t mind playing away from home and that will hold them in good stead for this game.
Although both sides rank highly in terms of defence we think there will be plenty of points on offer. The Roosters have conceded 18, 16, 16, and 18 points respectively in their last four matches while the Storm can leak points against teams with high powered offence.
Off the back of that you we think a few lazy dollars on the Over 44.5 Points ($3.45 @ Sportsbet) is worth the gamble.
OVER 44.5 TOTAL POINTS