Gold Coast vs Stgeorge Illawarra (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips

History says this one will be close and we tend to agree.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 29 Jun, 1:22 AM

 

History says this one will be close and we tend to agree.

 

The Titans and Dragons have played out a number of close encounters over the years and going off their form of late, that is a big possibility of happening again.

 

Gold Coast have produced some of the most exciting football, in patches, this season but the black mark against their name is the fact they have rarely put it together for 80 minutes.

 

They will head into this match with a bit of confidence having broken a four-game losing streak last week when registering a 26-14 win over the Wests Tigers at Campbelltown.

 

As for the Dragons, they are starting to endure an up and down season but they broke a two-game slide with a thrilling 32-28 win over Newcastle last week in a match they had won, then lost and then won again.

 

TITANIC PROBLEM

The Titans are sitting 14th on the NRL table but despite that they are ranked seventh in the competition for points scored (324).

 

Ordinarily an average of 21.6ppg would have a side in or around the top eight, however, the Titans are the exception to the rule.

 

Neil Henry’s side are the worst defensive outfit in the premiership along with the Tigers and are conceding 26.4 points per match and you aren’t going to win many matches by doing that.

 

The fact that the Gold Coast has beaten both last year’s Grand Finalists highlights the talent in the squad and what they are capable of but five wins for the season shows how big a task they set themselves.

 

DRAGGING THE CHAIN

Last week’s topsy-turvy game against the Knights really typifies the problem with the Dragons at the moment.

 

STGEORGE ILLAWARRA began brilliantly in 2017 but have hit a big flat spot of late, losing two of the past three games and struggling to score any points in losses to the Bulldogs and Eels. They then got out to a 10-nil lead against Newcastle before finding themselves down 28-10 at the break.

 

The fact they scored 22 unanswered points in the second half is beside the point – they definitely aren’t the team that set a 6-1 record to kick things off this season.

 

Injuries and Origin commitments have played a part in hurting the Dragons and their latest casualty in Paul Vaughn is a big loss. Thankfully they get back Jack de Belin from suspension for this one.

 

THE HISTORY

Stgeorge Illawarra have had the wood on the Titans since their inception in 2007, however, it’s been a case of teams trading wins since 2014.

 

The Titans did get the better of the Dragons in their previous encounter at Kogarah 32-12 almost a year ago which was their biggest win against the Red V in club history.

 

We are steering punters towards a 1-12 result as the average winning margin between the sides since 2012 is just 8.42 points. A Titans 1-12 win is returning $3.20 @ bet365 while a Dragons win by the same margin is also $3.20 with Palmerbet.

 

THE VERDICT

This is a real toss of the coin job!

 

A month ago you would have declared the Dragons near certainties but their form is worrying and we definitely don’t want to throw the house on them at the $1.96 (@ Unibet).

 

On the flip side the Titans are paying exactly the same and their form of late is hardly anything to get enthusiastic about either.

 

We are going for the visitors to steal the points simply because their attack did click into gear last week and we suspect their defence may just hold a little firmer than the Gold Coast’s when it comes to the crunch.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

STGEORGE ILLAWARRA


VALUE PLAY:

STGEORGE ILLAWARRA 1-12 WINNING MARGIN

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