The Broncos could all but end Canterbury’s season here.
Canterbury are sitting two wins outside the top eight but are still in with a chance of sneaking into the finals. If they do it is highly likely to be in the eighth and final spot.
That said, we believe they need to win every game from here on in to make it which would give them 32 points, which should be enough, however, with matches against sides either in the eight or still fighting for a playoff spot it will be a tough ask.
Des Hasler’s side will come into this match fresh off the bye but prior to that produced a miracle comeback to beat Newcastle in the dying stages at Belmore Sports Ground.
Brisbane, on the other hand, made tough work of the Knights last week but eventually overcame their stubborn resistance to secure the two points 34-22.
BRISBANE’s attack has quietly gone about its business this season without raising too many eyebrows.
Averaging 22.17 points per game through 17 matches, Brisbane is ranked third in the league for points scored with only Manly and Melbourne in front of them.
Their attack was there for all to see last week against Newcastle. Trailing 12-6 at the break the Broncos scored 28 points in the final 40 minutes to overwhelm the last-placed Knights 34-22.
CANTERBURY can’t afford any more slip ups if they are to make the semis this year.
They left it late to beat Newcastle last start by scoring two tries in the final four minutes and go into this match looking for back-to-back wins for the first time since Round 7.
With just seven wins this season, Canterbury’s biggest problem has been their attack which scores a league worst 14.11ppg.
While their attack is clunky, to say the least, Hasler’s side has stayed in the contest for most of their games in 2017 thanks largely to their defence which is remarkably ranked equal fourth in the competition.
Punters who love a good stat will be tempted by the price about the Bulldogs ($3.40 @ bet365).
They have won three of the past four against the Broncos including earlier this season when they won a dour contest in atrocious conditions at ANZ Stadium 10-7.
Canterbury’s record at Suncorp Stadium is less desirable with just two wins since 2010.
You cannot go past the Broncos in this.
They are short odds ($1.38 @ Unibet) but look too strong across the park for the misfiring Bulldogs.
Brisbane has an excellent record at home this season with six wins and two losses, making them the equal best home side in the competition along with the Sydney Roosters.
Wayne Bennett’s side has won 11 of the past 13 matches in front of their home fans dating back to the end of last season, with only North Queensland and Melbourne getting the better of them at the venue during that time.
Those teams are far stronger than Canterbury and we think this is nearly a no-brainer for Brisbane. The only doubt we have is that the Bulldogs will arrive in a desperate mood for points and with their defence one of the best in the league, the 1-12 winning margin for the home side looks the goods.
BRISBANE 1-12 WINNING MARGIN