Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips

Could an old favourite come back to haunt the Roosters?

Oddschecker
 | 
Wed, 19 Jul, 1:32 AM

 

Could an old favourite come back to haunt the Roosters?

 

Shaun Kenny-Dowall has been named to make his debut for the Newcastle Knights and what a game it would be to debut for his new by going up against the team he made his name with.

 

Sacked by the Roosters for off-field indiscretions, Nathan Brown has handed Kenny-Dowall a lifeline with the Kiwi international named on the wing to make his Newcastle debut.

 

The Knights will go into this having lost seven straight games with the latest of those being a gallant effort against the Brisbane Broncos, 34-22.

 

Sydney Roosters will come into the first of the Friday Night Football games off a bye but prior to that tested their squad depth by saluting 14-12 over the Rabbitohs despite fielding an Origin effected side.

 

INS AND OUTS

SYDNEY ROOSTERS will have a number of high profile players returning and on the sideline for this one.

 

Fullback Michael Gordon and captain Jake Friend are out of extended periods following injuries sustained against the Rabbitohs back in Round 18. On the flip side, they do welcome back Origin duo Blake Ferguson and Mitchell Pearce amongst others.

 

The loss of Gordon is a critical one because he is one of the best in the league when it comes to returning kicks from the opposition and he is one of the most reliable goalkickers in the competition. His place will be taken by the talented Connor Watson.

 

The win against the bunnies was one of their best of the season considering they had several things go against them that night and Souths were fighting to keep their season alive.

 

FAST 40, SLOW 40

Oh dear NEWCASTLE, not again!

 

The Novacastrians went into the sheds up 12-6 against the Broncos last week only to let that lead slip away. It is the ninth time they have led at halftime this season but the biggest concern for them is that they have converted just one of those leads into wins.

 

Their second halves have been shocking to say the least and it is no surprise to see they are the worst team in the competition when it comes to conceding second half points.

 

Recent matches against Stgeorge Illawarra and Brisbane have shown that the Knights came out of the blocks fast. Take the $3.75 @ Luxbet for them to be leading at halftime – they’ve done the job for us several times this year already!

 

THE HISTORY

This is where it gets ugly for Newcastle.

 

SYDNEY ROOSTERS have taken out eight of the past 10 clashes between the sides and most of those have been thrashings. In their last seven wins over Newcastle the average winning margin for the Roosters is 21.28 points.

 

Using the stat above we think we have found a bet type with a bit of value. Sportsbet are $2 for the Roosters to win 19+.

 

THE VERDICT

The Sydney Roosters are the logical choice here but jees they are poison odds.

 

Currently the best you will find is $1.15 across the board, however, with the losses of Gordon and Friend and the fact we think Newcastle will be leading at halftime, you can leave us out of that.

 

We much rather use the Roosters as multi bet anchor if we are to take such skinny odds.

 

The recommended bet for us is the Margin and even though 19+ is a bit ambitious, considering the Knights have gone down by an average of 11.57 points during their seven-game skid, it is a juicy price at the even money.

 

Our value bet is definitely the Newcastle / Sydney Roosters half-full double or you can even consider the Knights to be leading after 10 or 20 minutes.

 

Those who want to bet on the First Tryscorer should look at Latrell Mitchell, Mitchell Pearce and Luke Keary for the Roosters while the Mata’utia brothers have been in form for Newcastle and are definitely worth a few dollars as well.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

SYDNEY ROOSTERS 19+ WINNING MARGIN


VALUE PLAY:

NEWCASTLE / SYDNEY ROOSTERS HALF-FULL DOUBLE

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