Souths vs Canberra (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Pride will be on the line between the Bunnies and Raiders.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 28 Jul, 1:43 AM

 

Pride will be on the line between the Bunnies and Raiders.

 

It hasn’t been a good season for either team and both are now clear favourites to miss out on the top eight.

 

Canberra were one win away from the Grand Final last season but this time around have only been able to muster seven wins in 18 games to sit three wins outside eighth.

 

They come into this off the back of a 20-14 loss to Melbourne last Saturday night.

 

For Souths, they sit one win further back than Canberra on the table with 16 points for the season but won’t have a great deal of confidence after dropping a 26-12 result to the Sharks.

 

REINFORCEMENTS NEEDED

CANBERRA coach Ricky Stuart has been forced to ring in the changes for this game.

 

The Raiders were already without Josh Papalii who is currently serving a two-game suspension but added to the list are Sia Soliola and Jordan Rapana who copped their own bans from the Melbourne game last week.

 

Three devastating players missing from a side that has barely shown exactly what it is capable of is a worrying sign for Stuart’s men as they head to Homebush.

 

With just two road wins for the season the trip to ANZ Stadium will be an ominous one especially considering the form they are in. They have dropped five of the past six games which is bad enough but when you have four home games in succession and win just one of them, you know you are traveling poorly.

 

UNWANTED RECORD

SOUTHS are staring down the barrel of their own unwanted history here.

 

They come into the match having lost three consecutive games for the third time this season but the positive thing there is that they have won after that sequence of losses.

 

Should they lose here it will be the first time since last season that they have lost four games or more.

 

THE HISTORY

SOUTHS has dominated the majority of these clashes since 2010.

 

Michael Maguire’s side has won six of the past nine encounters, however, Canberra’s three wins during this period have come during the past four games.

 

The last time they met was exactly this round 12 months ago and Canberra had an absolute field day. Flying high at the time, the Green Machine racked up a huge 54-4 score at ANZ Stadium – their biggest ever win over Souths.

 

Big margins have been a feature of this clash for quite some time with the average margin of 23.12 points coming from their past eight clashes.

 

A 13+ Win for either side is offering juicy odds but we particularly like the $6 @ bet365 for Souths to be dishing out the punishment.

 

THE VERDICT

We are tipping the upset here and going for Souths ($2.50 @ bet365).

 

While they have been generally disappointing for most of the season and are coming into this off three straight defeats, they have shown fight in most of their games with their execution in attack letting them down.

 

With Canberra struggling on the road and with a number of big name players out, we think the ‘Burrow’ could be in for a rare win this season.

 

A lot will depend on the availability of Sam Burgess though. It was thought he would be out with a rib injury but ‘Big Sam’ has been named to take his place. If he does then our confidence towards Souths will definitely increase a level or two.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

SOUTHS


VALUE PLAY:

SOUTHS 13+ WINNING MARGIN

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