Newcastle vs New Zealand (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Are the Knights ready to go back-to-back?

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 3 Aug, 1:34 AM

 

Are the Knights ready to go back-to-back?

 

Newcastle has had a wretched couple of seasons but will fancy their chances of securing two straight wins against a sliding New Zealand Warriors outfit.

 

The Knights caused one of the upsets of the season last week in beating Stgeorge Illawarra 21-14 at home in what was a thoroughly deserved win for the home side.

 

New Zealand will head to the Hunter off the back of a season-worst four consecutive losses after going down 26-12 to the Sharks at Mt Smart Stadium.

 

HOME IS WHERE THE HEART IS

NEWCASTLE has had just four wins to show for their efforts since the start of 2016.

 

Each of those wins has been at Hunter Stadium and a great indication of just how far Nathan Brown’s men have come this season is the fact that three of those wins have been in 2017.

 

Newcastle are a young side that has lacked the experience to get the job done when it has mattered this year and the perfect example of that is that they have led nine times after 40 minutes.

 

That win against the Dragons will give them the world of confidence and it’s obvious that they love playing in front of the Newcastle faithful. A good bet here, almost every week in fact, is the Knights to be leading at halftime with the team at Luxbet offering $2.05 for it to happen here.

 

COOKED

NEW ZEALAND will once again miss out of the finals after a disappointing campaign.

 

It seems as though every season we are saying that about the Kiwis no matter who they recruit into their side. In recent times they’ve bought Kieran Foran, Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and Isaac Luke just to name a few but they still can’t crack the ‘code’. By that, we mean the code to get the Warriors winning and living up to their potential.

 

While their record at home has been pretty good (6-4) it has been their away form that has let them down. They are just 1-8 on the road and that definitely won’t get you into the top eight at the end of the season.

 

THE HISTORY

NEW ZEALAND has enjoyed this matchup over the years.

 

The Kiwis are enjoying their most fruitful period over the Novocastrians in six years when they managed to register five straight wins. They are riding a four-game winning streak over them this time around.

 

These teams met back in Round 1 and there is an argument to suggest the Knights could have got away with that one at Mt Smart Stadium. The end score was 26-22.

 

The great equalizer heading into this match though is the venue where Newcastle have proven to be feisty customers this season. The Warriors did win at their previous visit to the ground but dropped the two before that.

 

THE VERDICT

We are jumping on the bandwagon and cheering on the Knights at the juicy price.

 

Bet365 are offering up $2.25 about the Knights who are still hoping to avoid the wooden spoon. They sit on 10 competition points and are two wins adrift of the nearest team (Wests Tigers) so every win is crucial.

 

There was a feelgood factor associated with their win last week and there is no doubt there are supporters of other sides hoping that they can make it successive wins.

 

New Zealand aren’t a side that you can back with confidence and to be asked to take odds-on about them, especially in this form, is a bit of an ask.

 

This is a game that you definitely want to take a bit of value in. Dane Gagai ($17 @ Centrebet) is at fat odds to be 1st Tryscorer with the centre enjoying a good strike rate against his opposition this weekend. He has four tries in his past five games v the Warriors.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

NEWCASTLE


VALUE PLAY:

DANE GAGAI FIRST TRYSCORER

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