Big Marns Round 23 Betting Preview | NRL Betting Tips

Big Marn gives his take on round 23. It’s upsets galore this week!

Oddschecker
 | 
Wed, 9 Aug, 4:25 AM

BIG MARN'S MULTI

 

Bulldogs HTH

 

Sharks HTH

 

Titans HTH

 

Approximate Odds: $20

 

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs CANTERBURY BULLDOGS – Thursday 7.50pm, ANZ Stadium

Believe it or not I am tipping the Bulldogs here! Hear me out and I’ll tell you why…

 

I know they are playing atrociously, I know their attack has been non-existant and I know their season is over. HOWEVER… their record against the Rabbitohs can’t be ignored! They’ve won 3 of their past 4 games against them as well as an overall win percentage of close to 70% over the past 15 years. It reads very well!

 

At the end of the day, the Dogs have too many fantastic players to be doing this poorly – it just doesn’t add up! I like them at the odds on offer here and I’m happy to take them in the HT / FT double to boost those odds further. For first tryscorer I like the look of Moses Mbye at hooker and think he could dart over early on.

 

Outright Match Winner:

BULLDOGS

HT / FT

BULLDOGS / BULLDOGS

First Try Scorer:

MOSES MBYE

PARRAMATTA EELS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS - Friday 6pm, ANZ

Without question a game that the Eels SHOULD win. They’re in good form, they’re fighting for a position in the top 4 and they are playing the cellar dwellers in the Knights. However, Newcastle has won their past two and they continue to play with a great deal of commitment, so the task for Parramatta may not be as simple as it looks.

 

In saying that, I will still be siding with the blue and golds here. They’re a far better team than the two sides the Knights have beaten in recent weeks (Dragons and Warriors) and the Knights will be without their gun fullback, Nathan Ross.

 

I’m only tipping the Eels by the 1-12 margin though, as I’m not convinced they will give the Knights a hiding. For a good value bet, I think taking the Knights into the Eels in a HT / FT double looks brilliant odds. To back that bet I’m keen to get on a Knights player for first tryscorer and I think the returning Shaun Kenny-Dowall is a good bet to cross the chalk first.

 

Outright Match Winner:

EELS

Margin Betting

EELS 1-12

HT / FT

KNIGHTS / EELS

First Try Scorer:

SHAUN KENNY-DOWALL

BRISBANE BRONCOS vs CRONULLA SHARKS - Friday 7.50pm, Suncorp Stadium

I nearly went to the optometrist after seeing the Sharkies odds in this one. $2.85! Surely my eyes were playing tricks on me? But no, the pupils were sweet and I went straight back onto oddschecker.com.au to see which bookie was offering the best price and placed my bet!

 

Seriously though, this has to be the best value bet of the round! The Sharks will be reeling after last weekend’s loss and the Broncos may just be feeling a bit complacent after toweling up the Titans. I’m expect James Maloney to have an instantly positive effect on the Sharkies this week and I think he will more than compensate for the loss of Jack Bird.

 

The Sharkies will almost certainly drop out of the top 4 If they loses this game so there’s no question there is a lot at stake for them. Let’s get on them to grind out a HT / FT win and for a bit of extra value I think Luke Lewis is knocking on the door to get up as first tryscorer.

 

Outright Match Winner:

SHARKS

HT / FT

SHARKS / SHARKS

First Try Scorer:

LUKE LEWIS

ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS vs GOLD COAST TITANS - Saturday 3.00pm, UOW Jubilee Stadium

It might not sound very logical after they were flogged last week, but I’m keen to side with the Titans here. Yes, they’re only playing for pride now with the finals well out of their reach. However, these guys are professional athletes and losing by 50 hurts! Trust me, it’s even happened to myself on the odd occasion –it sucks!

 

Fingers crossed Kevin proctor and Ash Taylor play, they’ve both been named in the squad and will make a massive difference if they line up. The Dragons are hardly flying so the $2.85 on offer for the Titans looks very inviting! For first tryscorer I’m keen to side with Jarryd Hayne. – he needs a big game because he hasn’t given them much this year.

 

Outright Match Winner:

TITANS

Margin Betting:

TITANS 1-12

First Try Scorer:

JARRYD HAYNE

MELBOURNE STORM vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS - Saturday 5.30pm, AAMI Park

Game of the round this one! 1st versus 2nd on the ladder, yet the bookies are pretty much penciling the Storm in for the win as they are around the $1.37 mark. To be fair, they are probably bang on.

 

Melbourne are just at their clinical best, and whilst the Roosters are having a great season, you only have to go back to last week to see they have some frailities. Yes, they get Boyd Cordner and Jake Friend back this week but I see it as a tough game for them to make their returns and they may be a yard off the pace. Let’s go with the Storm 13+, as it’s the only way to get some value in this one. For first tryscorer I want to be on Billy Slater, he’s never far from the action when the Storm are on the attack so he will give us a good sight for first tryscorer.

 

Outright Match Winner:

STORM

Margin:

STORM 13+

First Try Scorer:

BILLY SLATER

PENRITH PANTHERS vs NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS – Saturday 7.30pm, Pepper Stadium

The Panthers just keep winning and I’m loving it!

 

In what would be a big boost for Penrith, It looks like Matt Moylan could be back this weekend. Add to that the fact the Cowboys have a few out including Antonio Winterstein and Gavin Cooper and it’s hard to see anything other than a Panthers win eventuating here.

 

Let’s go for a dominant 13+ Panthers win and for some serious value I reckon we back James Tamou to barge over for first tryscorer against his former club.

 

Outright Match Winner:

PANTHERS

Line Bet

PANTHERS 13+

First Tryscorer

JAMES TAMOU

NZ WARRIORS vs CANBERRA RAIDERS – Sunday 2.00pm, Mt. Smart Stadium

Two weeks ago I thought the Raiders had the best game they’d played all season. Well they one upped that effort last week when they outplayed Cronulla! They’ve definitely found their mojo and are starting to look very dangerous as they make one final tilt to make the top 8.

 

I’ve got no trust in the Warriors and it looks as though they have pretty much put the cue in the rack for this season. If the Raiders are fair dinkum about making the semis there’s no question they will be winning this and probably by a big margin. Happy to take them 13+ and I want to be on Jordan Rapana for first tryscorer.

 

Outright Match Winner:

RAIDERS

Margin Betting

RAIDERS 13+

First Try Scorer:

JORDAN RAPANA

WESTS TIGERS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES – Sunday 4.00pm, Leichhardt Oval

You have to tip Manly here. In saying that, I’ve seen plenty of upsets at Leichhardt before when the Tigers have beaten teams when you’d least expect it. I like the look of the Tigers into Manly HT / FT double. You have to remember that Manly were down 18-4 at half time last week before they turned things right around. The Tigers have looked OK the past couple of weeks so they could well match it with Manly for at least some portion of this game, although you’d expect Manly’s class to prevail in the end.

 

For first tryscorer I’m keen to get on a Tigers player seeing as we are backing them to lead at half time, David Nofoaluma’s name is jumping out at me. He’s only got 5 tries for the year but one of those came last week.

 

 

Outright Match Winner:

MANLY

HT / FT

TIGERS / MANLY

First Try Scorer:

NOFOALUMA

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