Penrith vs Stgeorge Illawarra (Sunday) Betting Preview & Tips

Will the red-hot Panthers make it eight wins on the trot?

Oddschecker
Thu, 24 Aug, 1:00 AM

 

Will the red-hot Panthers make it eight wins on the trot?

 

Penrith is one of the form teams of the competition over the past two months and went down to the nation’s capital last weekend and pretty much ended the finals hopes of Canberra.

 

They will be looking to do similar to the Dragons here on Sunday afternoon at Pepper Stadium.

 

Stgeorge Illawarra looked a certainty for a finals spot after two months of the season but a dramatic fall from grace has seen them clinging to ninth spot on the table.

 

The Dragons go into the match after losing to Brisbane 24-12 at Suncorp Stadium.

 

GETTING IT DONE

PENRITH are aiming for eight straight wins in a season for the first time since 2003 – the year they last won the premiership!

 

Defence has been a key indicator of the club’s success over the past two months, conceding just 15.14 points per game during their winning streak.

 

They haven’t been overly impressive but a feature of their play has been hard work, determination and grit and that explains why six of those seven wins have been by 12 points or less.

 

Another big reason they’ve been able to go on such a good run is the fact five of those matches have been played at Pepper Stadium.

 

 

NOW OR NEVER

If STGEORGE ILLAWARRA wants to make the finals then they need to win this match.

 

With just five wins in their past 15 matches the Red V is sitting one win outside the top eight with the stuttering Sea Eagles and Cowboys just ahead of them.

 

The Dragons weren’t bad against an in-form Broncos outfit last week but they did have their chances to put some more points on the board.

 

If they want to win this game at the foot of the mountains then their execution has to be better. Gareth Widdop is third in the league for try assists (19) but with utility Kurt Mann slotting in at number seven, the experiment hasn’t yielded the results that coach Paul Macgregor was hoping for.

 

THE HISTORY

Those keen to take the price about STGEORGE ILLAWARRA will be pleased to know they’ve won the past three clashes between the sides.

 

Their most recent encounter was back in Round 1 at Kogarah where the Dragons sprung the biggest upset of the opening week by running out 42-10 winners.

 

Ironically the performance was an indicator of how the fortunes of both teams would go through the first two months of the seasons, with the Dragons going 6-1 through seven rounds while the Panthers were 2-5 at the same stage.

 

Another positive for the Dragons is that they are aiming for four straight at Pepper Stadium for the first time in club history.

 

Traditionally there isn’t a great deal between these sides and barring their most recent clash the average winning margin has been 12 points or less.

 

If you fancy the Dragons 1-12 you can take $4 @ Sportsbet.

 

THE VERDICT

Can the Panthers keep this momentum going?

 

We think they will go close but at this stage of the weekend we are willing to take the Dragons at the price. The team at Unibet are offering $2.80 about the merged entity to get the cash.

 

Stgeorge Illawarra need to win and they will get their chances here to score points courtesy of their league-leading metres per game (1522 avg), tackle busts (35.9) and offloads (13.2). If they get their second phase play going like it was at the start of the season then we can’t see Penrith containing them.

 

The Panthers have been great over the past two months but they have only really beaten one or teams of quality. In saying that, one of those games was down in Canberra last week.

 

In a tight struggle we think this will go down to the wire but are taking the odds about the Dragons to get the cash.

 

Importantly, Penrith captain Matt Moylan won’t be available due to his hamstring concerns so that is also a big positive for the visitors.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

STGEORGE ILLAWARRA


VALUE PLAY:

STGEORGE ILLAWARRA 1-12 WINNING MARGIN

 

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