Manly vs Penrith (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Can the Panthers turn things around in the space of a week?

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 8 Sep, 12:16 AM

 

Can the Panthers turn things around in the space of a week?

 

Penrith were handled like a cheap suit by Manly last week in their clash at Lottoland which secured a spot in the finals for the home side and resigned the Panthers to finishing seventh on the ladder.

 

Manly came out humming from the kick-off with the platform laid by their forwards. In truth the score of 28-12 probably flattered Penrith at the end of the day.

 

It was just the win that the Sea Eagles needed after a dip in form in the back end of the season.

 

Penrith, on the other hand, have hit a stumbling block at the wrong time and go into the finals with consecutive losses having been beaten by the Dragons a fortnight ago.

 

HALVES ON FIRE

One of the big reasons MANLY are back in the finals is their halves combination.

 

Daly Cherry-Evans has combined well with Blake Green with the team as a whole only second to Melbourne when it comes to try assists.

 

The 552 points the team scored throughout the regular season puts them third of those teams still in contention to win the premiership. Only Melbourne (633) and Brisbane (597) scored more points than them.

 

DRAMAS

PENRITH’s seven-game winning streak is now a thing of the past.

 

The Panthers overcame a shocking 2-7 start to surge into finals contention but a fortnight out from the finals, when a top four finish seemed a distinct possibility, they limped into seventh spot.

 

Signs were starting to show that Penrith may have run their race when they were beaten by the Dragons at Pepper Stadium and last week, with everything still on the line, they produced one of their worst games of the season against Manly.

 

Can they turn things around against that same team?

 

They are once again without captain Matt Moylan who has had his battles with personal issues aired in the media this week while Dylan Edwards, who has been sensational at fullback, is an outside chance of playing. The mountain men really missed him last week.

 

It is the first time since 2009 that sides that clashed in the final game of the regular season will play each other again in Week 1 of the finals. On that occasion it was the Dragons and Eels with the latter turning the tables 26-12 after losing 37-nil the previous week.

 

THE HISTORY

PENRITH has dominated this matchup in recent times.

 

The Panthers were on a five-game winning streak against Manly prior to last week’s defeat which is the Sea Eagles’ biggest win over Penrith since 2012.

 

Josh Mansour could be a player to follow in tryscorer markets as he has seven tries in eight games against the Northern Beaches outfit. If you fancy Manly for first try though, Dylan Walker ($14 @ Sportsbet) is the man with four tries in four games versus Penrith but we suggest going for him as Last Tryscorer which is something he has done three times this season.

 

THE VERDICT

We are all over MANLY in this one.

 

Unibet has them at $1.65 and we think that is a pretty good price for a team that has won back-to-back games and is starting to show some of the confidence they displayed earlier in the season.

 

The return of Curtis Sironen showed just how dangerous the Manly forwards can be and Penrith were helpless to stop the likes of he, Martin Taupau and Jake Trbojevic just to name a few.

 

Penrith were held to the least amount of metres they’ve gained in a match this season while at the same time allowing Trent Barrett’s side to run for an incredible 1681 metres – the most the Panthers have allowed since Round 1.

 

You would expect their to be some bounce back from last week’s defeat from Penrith, however, their big midseason surge may have taken the stuffing out of them at the wrong time of the season.

 

It has been a great effort to get into the finals from where they were at the start of the year, however, Penrith might have left themselves too much to do now.

 

What’s worse for them is their record against their fellow top eight opponents this season has been disastrous with just two wins in nine. Off the back of all that, we simply can’t have them here.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

MANLY


VALUE PLAY:

DYLAN WALKER LAST TRYSCORER

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