Brisbane vs Penrith (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips

The Queenslanders look set to continue their season when they host the Panthers on Friday night.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 14 Sep, 1:45 AM

 

The Queenslanders look set to continue their season when they host the Panthers on Friday night.

 

Brisbane were within touching distance of getting through to the Preliminary Final in last week’s match against the Sydney Roosters, however, a late try to Latrell Mitchell ruined what could have been a spectacular comeback.

 

Despite that the broncos will be buoyed by the fact they head back home and get to play in front of a capacity crowd where that will surely play in their favour.

 

Penrith scored one of the upsets in Week 1 when they disposed of Manly 22-10, just seven days after losing 28-12 to the same side.

 

FORTRESS SUNCORP

BRISBANE had one of the best home record in the NRL this season – 9-3.

 

Their three losses, however, have all come against sides inside the top eight with North Queensland (rd 2), Melbourne (rd 17) and Parramatta (rd 25) all leaving Suncorp with the points.

 

Wayne Bennett’s outfit has averaged over 27 points per game at the venue this season.

 

SLOW STARTS

PENRITH’s chances of success may go out the window in the first 20 minutes if they don’t smarten up.

 

The Panthers have scored just eight points in total in the first 20 minutes of games in their past seven matches, which means that they’ve had to play catch up for the final hour of their matches.

 

That doesn’t spell good signs here as Brisbane as the Broncos are the highest scoring second-half team in the NRL with 324 points coming in the final 40 minutes of their respective games.

 

THE HISTORY

PENRITH will come into this with a bit of confidence having beaten Brisbane in six of their past 10 clashes.

 

In their most recent clash, Brisbane won effortlessly 32-18 at Suncorp Stadium but it must be noted that the loss for Penrith was the last before they went and won their next four games.

 

Strangely these sides have only met twice in finals footy previously with Penrith winning both games.

 

The first of those was in the Prelim Final of 1990 while the other one was in 2003. On both occasions the Mountain Men made it through to the Grand Final that season, winning it in the latter.

 

Based on historical stats alone is the $3.10 @ bet365/Unibet worth taking the game on the Panthers?

 

THE VERDICT

Everything points to a BRISBANE win here.

 

Most bookies have them short with $1.42 @ bet365 the best price available at the time of writing. Bennett has named Darius Boyd on an extended bench but the classy fullback is in a race against time to be fit for the game.

 

If Boyd plays then it makes Brisbane look an even better bet in our eyes!

 

The Broncos showed enough in the second 40 minutes against the Roosters last week to indicate that they will be ready to get the job done here. It is doubtful that they will let Penrith get the better of them in the opening exchanges, much like the Roosters did, so we expect them to have learnt from their mistakes.

 

Penrith will prove to be feisty opposition though going on what we saw against Manly last week, but against Brisbane at Suncorp in a finals match, they may find this one a bridge too far.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

BRISBANE


VALUE PLAY:

COREY OATES FIRST TRYSCORER

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