Parramatta vs North Queensland (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Can the Eels reproduce the intensity from last week?

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 14 Sep, 1:51 AM

 

Can the Eels reproduce the intensity from last week?

 

If Parramatta can then there is no doubt that they are worth having a big crack at despite the short price. Their effort against Melbourne in defeat had most of the footy world talking about them as potential premiership contenders despite having to go the ‘long road’ through to the big one.

 

They come into this off the back of nine wins in their past 11 games while they also have a sensational record at ANZ Stadium this season.

 

North Queensland surprised Cronulla last week and had to rely on a Michael Morgan field goal in extra time to finally prevail 15-14. Remarkably it was the only point in the match where the Cowboys led!

 

Their form hasn’t been spectacular of late with just two wins in their past seven fixtures but the fact they are in Week 2 of the finals shows how much heart and commitment they are playing with.

 

BACKING IT UP

PARRAMATTA will win if they reproduce their effort against Melbourne.

 

Their intensity, trick plays and defence nearly pulled off one of the upsets of the season but despite all that they still lost.

 

A few silly penalties and costly errors proved fatal in the end for Brad Arthur’s men who need to be able to reproduce that effort once again on Saturday night.

 

There is the danger of them falling flat heading into this one, especially since they are expected to dispose of a Cowboys outfit that has been dessimated by injuries all year.

 

One big thing in their favour is their incredible record at ANZ Stadium which has been their home ground in 2017. The Eels have won 11 of their past 13 games at Homebush.

 

NOT OUT OF IT

There weren’t many out there who thought NORTH QUEENSLAND could upset the defending premiers last week.

 

It has been well publicised that Paul Green’s men have been without their inspirational captains Johnathan Thurston and Matt Scott, however, by sticking to a simple philosophy they managed to scrape into the top eight.

 

One of the big reasons they were able to get the money, aside from a few controversial decisions going their way, was the fact they completed just over 80 percent of their sets against the Sharks. That is no surprise considering the Cowboys lead the league for completions.

 

Another big factor in the surprise result is they are one of the best teams in the league that prevent teams from offloading with the Sharks only able to get four last week.

 

Put simply, if Parramatta become sloppy in their play and begin committing errors and conceding penalties, expect the Cowboys to punish them.

 

THE HISTORY

Those that want to take the odds about NORTH QUEENSLAND could have worse bets this weekend.

 

The Cowboys have won eight of the past 11 games against Parramatta while the teams have split the two matches this season one apiece.

 

In the first of those, Parramatta scored a 26-6 upset in Townsville back in Round 9 but just five weeks later it was North Queensland which registered a 32-6 triumph at TIO Stadium.

 

In finals matches they have only met once and coincidentally that was back in 2005 at ANZ Stadium, where the Cowboys were emphatic 29-0 winners in the Preliminary Final.

 

When looking at this semi-final fixture under the current format, the team that lost the Qualifying Final has never lost to the winner of the Elimination Final so that gives Parramatta a big ‘tick’ if you are punting on sheer statistics.

 

Overall though the case for a Cowboys win ($3.50 @ Unibet) isn’t too bad.

 

THE VERDICT

We are in the corner of PARRAMATTA.

 

They were just so good against Melbourne last week, in what was one of their best performances of the season, to dismiss here. If they can keep it together then we think they will pack too many guns for the Cowboys.

 

Parra aren’t specials by any means though because they are capable of putting in a flat performance every now and then. You only have to go back to the Newcastle match in Round 23 as the perfect example of that.

 

Arthur is a fine operator though and after guiding the team into the finals for the first time since 2009, will ensure it won’t be a case of the Blue and Golds going out in straight sets.

 

On the injury front, Bevan French appears to still be unavailable for the Eels while Justin O’Neill has been named on the extended bench for the Cowboys and could be a surprise call up for Paul Green.

 

Looking for value? We suggest having something on the Eels 13+ Winning Margin ($2.52 @ Palmerbet) as the average winning between the sides in their past five clashes has been 21.6 points.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

PARRAMATTA


VALUE PLAY:

PARRAMATTA 13+ WINNING MARGIN

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