NRL Round 6 Review & Betting Tips
Is it time to take the Dragons seriously as premiership contenders?
NEW PREMIERSHIP FAVOURITES
St.George Illawarra Dragons
The Red V are the new premiership favourites with most corporate bookmakers after going 6-0 to start 2018. St.George Illawarra is now the only unbeaten team left in the competition after the Warriors dropped their first match over the weekend. Clearly the Ben Hunt / Gareth Widdop experiment has worked wonders for Paul Mcgregor and his side, with the team boasting the best attack in the competition after averaging 32.33 points per game so far.
The Dragons have only been held to less than 20 points on one occasion and that was against Souths a fortnight ago. In their five other games, they have racked up at least 30 points on three occasions while topping 40 twice. Ironically, at this point 12 months ago, the Dragons led the comp and had the best attack also but still went on to miss the top 8.
Are they the real deal? Well, going on what we’ve seen, they’re definitely top 4 material but are pretty skinny odds now to do that ($1.60 @ TAB) and punters are being asked to take as low as $5.50 about them to win the premiership. Good luck to those who secured as much as $17 prior to their Round 1 win over the Broncos!
This next month or so will really gauge whether or not the Dragons are the team to beat and punters must remember that the side is likely to have a number of State Of Origin representatives chosen too, so that is worth considering when placing futures bets.
Up next: Dragons ($1.83 @ bet365) travel to Mt Smart to play the Warriors in a top of the table clash on Friday night. After that, the Red V play the Roosters off a five-day back up and then face the Storm and Rabbitohs.
VALUE IN MEDAL MARKETS
BENJI MARSHALL / BLAKE GREEN
These two players have been highly influential in seeing their sides begin 5-1 for the season.
While the regular names such as Johnathan Thurston, Cam Smith and Billy Slater were at the top of the Dally M market when it was first released, guys like Marshall and Green still represent tremendous value here.
Our advice would be to shop around for value in this market while an investment on current favourite Gareth Widdop wouldn’t go astray either.
The Rabbitohs have quietly gone about their business without a great deal of fanfare and are currently 3-3 after six rounds but we think they could be a nice futures bet to make the top 8.
Punters can secure $2 @ Crownbet for the bunnies to make the finals and after their big win against the Sydney Roosters on the weekend, who’s to say they can’t maintain that form for the rest of the campaign?
All of the Rabbitohs three losses this season have come against teams in the top four (Dragons, Warriors, Panthers) – not a bad formline right?
Up next: Souths ($1.63 @ Sportsbet) travel to Central Coast Stadium to host Canberra. The fixture hasn’t been kind to Anthony Seibold’s men in recent times with three straight losses against the Green Machine coming into this one.