The first of the Origin affected rounds sees eight teams having the week off. This game sees both sides looking to bounce back from one-point losses.
The Cowboys went down thanks to a Cameron Munster field goal in the final eight minutes. The loss sees the Cowboys season go from bad to worse as they now sit second last on the ladder with only three wins from their opening 12 games and their worst start to a season since 2010. The side will be without Gavin Copper, Michael Morgan and Coen Hess to Origin duties and Scott Bolton in doubt with a rib injury. Paul Green said his side has forgotten how to win.
Manly looked like they had the game won, up by six with four minutes on the clock, only to conceded late points to lose against Canberra. Trent Barrett’s side will miss key players in the Trbojevic brothers to Origin duty. In what is a must win for the clash for the Cowboys, we are tipping Manly will record back-to-back wins over the Cowboys for the first time since 2014.
For total point players, matches between these sides have totalled 42 or less points on four of the past five occasions.
Best Bet: Manly (Win) @ $1.80*
Value Bet: Manly/ Under 42 Points (hd2Hd / OverUnder Double)
It’s a top 4 clash on our hands tonight after both South Sydney and the Sharks recorded big Round 12 wins. Souths won their fourth match in a row with a 20-point demolition of the Warriors. This win not only moved them into third place on the NRL Ladder but saw them firm up in Premiership betting from $8 into $6.50. They were also the best backed side of the week in the Premiership market. Origin duty has hit the Rabbitohs with Greg Inglis, Dane Gagai, Damien Cook and Angus Crichton all called up to represent their State. The Sharks recorded their sixth win in a row as they continue to hum along under the radar. Their 38-point win over the Knights has bumped them into fourth spot on the ladder. Sharks have won their past three at ANZ Stadium, while Souths have only lost one in their past in their past four at the venue. Valentine Holmes is the only Sharks player called up for Origin duty compared to four from South Sydney and as a result, we are going to go with the away side.
Matt Moylan was outstanding in his side’s performance over the Knights last week. He became the first Sharks player to have six try assists in the one game. Expect another big game from him against an under strength Souths side.
Best Bet: Sharks 1-12 (Margin) @ $2.90*
Value Bet: Matt Moylan to score 1+ try (Player Performance)
For Parramatta fans, it’s almost time to start focusing on 2019 after their side recorded another loss last weekend putting them firmly at the bottom of the ladder. With just two wins from their first 12 games, this is the worst start to a Parramatta season since 2012 when they ended up with the wooden spoon with just six wins for the campaign.
The Knights are looking to bounce back from a 38-point thrashing at the hands of the Sharks. This was their fourth straight loss and close to their worst performance of the season. The Knights have now conceded a staggering 146 points in their past four matches.
Both sides are unaffected by Origin call ups. The Knights have a good record over the Eels with eight wins from their past 10 outings, which includes a 19-point win last time they met.
Since Clint Gutherson’s return from injury he has scored three tries. He loves playing at ANZ Stadium with seven tries in his past eight games at the venue.
Best Bet: Knights (Win) @ $2.50*
Value Bet: Clint Gutherson (First Try Scorer)
The Roosters come into this off the back of a solid 20-point win over the Titans on the Central Coast. The likes of James Tedesco, who ran for 174 metres, had one try assist, one try and six tackle busts highlighted the performance. Tedesco, along with Latrell Mitchell, Boyd Cordner and Dylan Napa will all be absent from this game due to Origin duties.
Wests Tigers remain in the top 8 after their four-point win over the Bulldogs thanks to co-captains, Chris Lawrence and Benji Marshall. Josh Reynolds also put on an impressive performance in the second half against his old side. The Tigers stunned the Roosters back in Round 1 with their two-point upset win, however, the Tigers have a horror record at Allianz Stadium. They have lost eight straight matches at the venue. In what is an important match for both sides, look to the Tigers to break their Allianz hoodoo.
Last weekend, Chris Lawrence crossed the line for the third time this season, taking his total career tries to 79. He is now equal with Benji Marshall for the most tries scored at the Tigers.
Best Bet: Wests Tigers (Win) @ $1.85*
Value Bet: Chris Lawrence (First Try Scorer)