5 Origin Markets You Didn't Know You Could Bet On

These fascinating markets offer great value and opportunities

James Baxter
Tue, 9 Jul, 12:00 AM

State of Origin Game 3 is the biggest league event to date in 2019 and given the series is locked at 1-all, punting interest is hitting a massive high. With interest comes opportunities and as seen below, there are five top markets for you to back which you may not even realise.

5. TRYFECTA - Pointsbet

How will the sequence of the first three tries fall? As a guide, if you think it’ll follow game 1’s of NSW-QLD-QLD Pointsbet have $8.50* available. If you think game 2’s NSW-QLD-NSW pattern will strike again, you can get $6.25*. The favoured tryfecta is a bluewash of NSW-NSW-NSW at $4.10*, but if you reckon there’s a Maroon ambush coming, QLD-QLD-QLD gets you $10.50*.

4. Jersey of first tryscorer - TAB

After a more conservative approach to the first tryscorer market? TAB have you covered. Regardless of state, if you reckon a player wearing jerseys with number 1-5 scores the Decider’s first try, you can get $1.60*. If you reckon anyone else salutes first, you can get $2.30*. It’s an interesting way to essentially back the field with 24 players covered in the higher-priced market.

3. Most tackles - TAB

One for the footy purist punter. This market is split into selected backs and forwards which offers some tasty value. For the backs, Queensland captain Daly Cherry-Evans is a red hot favourite at $2* and great value considering in game 2 he almost made as many tackles (32) as the next two Queensland backs combined (Will Chambers 18 and Cameron Munster 15). James Maloney ($7.50*) is the tightest NSW back, which shows how much hard yakka DCE has in front of him in the defensive line.

The forwards market is much more clustered considering hookers are excluded. Jake Trbojevic ($3*) tackles himself into the ground for fun and was the only starting Blue forward to not miss a tackle last game, but Queensland lock Josh McGuire ($3.75*) is outstanding value with his high workrate and big minutes.

2. Time of first Queensland try - BetEasy

This market rewards your gut feel – both main options are $1.88* so the question is: will Queensland score its first try before or after the 19:59 minute mark? Game 1 – where the Maroons won – it was significantly after it at 52:11 yet game 2 where they got belted, they got their only try awarded at 15:30. Of course if you’re feeling like the Maroons will not score a single try for the first time since 2014, then BetEasy can offer you $12*.

1. Head-to-Head tryscorer markets - TAB

This is a fascinating market and offers great value to either a player you reckon will outscore their counterpart or conversely to back in a tie at differing values. Let’s look at Tom Trbojevic vs Michael Morgan, for example. The NSW star is $3* to score more tries than Morgan ($7*) which is top value considering Trbojevic is coming off a hat-trick and has the better Origin strike-rate (5 in 4 compared to 1 in 11).

A tie between the two offers $1.60*. Other notable markets include Blake Ferguson ($3*) versus Corey Oates ($4.25*, the tie $1.85*), James Tedesco ($3.10*) versus Cameron Munster ($5.50, the tie $1.65*) and Boyd Cordner ($5.75*) against Felise Kaufusi ($7.50*, the tie $1.25*).

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