Origin 3: First Try Scorer Preview & Tips
State of Origin Game 3 is the biggest league match of 2019 to date. Which Blues and Maroons are our top tips to be first tryscorer? Read on to find out.
NEW SOUTH WALES
Best bet: Tom Trbojevic ($12* – Bet365) was our Value Bet option in Game 2 and duly saluted on his way to a brilliant hat-trick. Tommy Turbo is a complete attacking threat for NSW. Despite playing at centre he’s been encouraged to follow his natural fullback instincts in attack and is as capable of scoring off a midfield bomb as he is playing a support runner.
Trbojevic now has five tries in four NSW starts to go with four tries in five matches for Manly this year – he’s every chance of adding to his imposing record Wednesday.
Value bet: Jack Wighton ($17* – TopBetta) Trbojevic’s centre partner and like the Manly star has the added bonus of lengthy experience at fullback. Making a successful transition to five-eighth at club level, Wighton is in form for Canberra with six tries in his last ten starts (including being a first tryscorer) and had an impressive match in his new Blues position in game 2. Wighton had more possessions (20) than Tommy Turbo (18) in that game and is great value to strike first for the Blues.
Best bet: Dane Gagai ($13* – TAB) is the most prolific Origin tryscorer in Queensland’s squad and with the series on the line, look for the Maroons to rely on their tryscoring machine early. Gagai has a record of being a first tryscorer in Origin from 2016 and remains the only Maroon with two tries in this series so far.
With 11 tries in 12 Maroon appearances, Gagai also has a strike rate of scoring in seven of these matches. He’s a proven threat even from long-range as his game 1 intercept shows.
Value bet: Ben Hunt ($41* – Sportsbet) is an intriguing longshot option. At club level playing at halfback he’s scored five tries in his last ten starts (including first tryscorer twice) and the Queensland hooker will take increased control early on while reshuffled fullback Cameron Munster and debutante Corey Norman settle to their new roles.
Hunt has a reliable combination with Norman from the Dragons and should the five-eighth break through the line with his trademark pace, there’ll be no better support runner to finish off than Hunt.
*Odds subject to change