Origin Game 3 Best Bets

James Baxter
Tue, 9 Jul, 12:00 AM

Origin 3 is a punting extravaganza with hundreds of markets on offer for the series decider. We’ve cut through the clutter though to give you five clear-cut best bet options backed by stats and history.

 

FIVE – Corey Oates ANYTIME TRY SCORER - $2.70* (TAB)

Since making his Maroons debut in 2016, the giant winger has never gone consecutive Origin appearances without a try. After drawing a blank in game 2, Oates is due and with 10 tries in 13 Broncos matches this year and 8 tries in 8 matches as a winger for Brisbane at ANZ Stadium.

 

FOUR – NSW TO WIN FIRST HALF - $1.65* (TopBetta)

The Blues are fast starters – they’ve won eight of the last nine opening halves of Origin action. They’ve also won the opening two halves of this series with ease, conceding only one try in the process.

 

THREE – QUEENSLAND +6.5 - $1.95* (Bet365)

ANZ Stadium suits tight contests – the underdogs have covered the line in six of the last seven matches at the Olympic park. The Maroons don’t mind ANZ Stadium either win four wins from their last seven visits, and their three losses coming by 2, 4 and 4 points – easily covered by the offered points start here.

TWO – TOM TRBOJEVIC ANYTIME TRY SCORER - $2.50* (Bet365)

Tommy Turbo is on fire in 2019 and loves the Origin spotlight. He’s scored 4 tries in 5 Manly matches this year and after his amazing hat-trick in game now has 5 tries in 4 NSW appearances – with each of these Blues caps coming away from his preferred fullback slot. Trbojevic is a tryscoring machine and is strong value to maintain his impressive tryscoring strike rate.

 

ONE – TOTAL POINTS UNDER 34.5 - $1.90* (TAB)

In the last 10 Origins held at ANZ Stadium, unders has won every time (the average total being 23.5 points) and the last three Game 3s have also favoured the unders market. The Homebush venue surface is notoriously greasy increasing handling errors plus Queensland will be without a frontline goalkicker, further strengthening the under option.

 

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