Sydney derby looks set to be a tense affair

Seven of the last 10 derbies have had fewer than three goals so 'unders' looks a solid bet.

Football Form Labs
Thu, 14 Jan, 2:13 PM
Western Sydney Wanderers v Sydney FC - Saturday, 19:30, Fox Sports 4

The Wanderers lost a thrilling top of the table clash at City 3-2 last weekend, coming back from 2-0 down to level things up as they dominated the game, only for the referee to help City towards an 85th minute winner. They face another stiff test as they host Sydney in this one, who come into this game following a solid 2-0 win over the Jets and a win here would see them go level with the Wanderers.

Having gone on a run of seven straight wins that saw them surge to the top of the table, the Wanderers have since managed just one win in their last four as they were held to draws against Perth and Adelaide and suffered that defeat against City. After an opening day defeat against Brisbane, the Wanderers’ home record is an excellent W5-D1-L0, with four of these six games having fewer than three goals as the defence has conceded just twice.

Sydney should provide the Wanderers with a real test as they’ve only lost twice all season and their away record since the start of last season is a very impressive W12-D7-L1, though they are winless in their last four on the road and are a poorer side this term. They found the net in 17 of these 20 matches, with the exceptions being three 0-0’s and they’ve only conceded more than once on five occasions, though their attack has been significantly weaker this term since Marc Janko departed. A more recent problem has been the injury to playmaker and skipper Alex Brosque. Since the start of last season he’s failed to start just six games and their only win came last week at home against a poor Jets outfit. Furthermore, aside from a win in the first derby of the season Sydney’s only wins have come against the bottom three while three of their four matches against the teams above them have had fewer than three goals.

Sydney have won four of the last five derbies but the Wanderers were the better side in the first meeting this season while the whole of their 2014/15 domestic campaign was a bit of an anomaly. Seven of the last 10 derbies have had fewer than three goals, including four of five at the Parramatta Stadium during that period. The 1-0 and 2-0 scores are of some interest for Wanderers fans but the best bet looks to be Under 2.5 Goals.

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