There could be a bit of value to be found in the final game of Round 13 when the Victory play host to Newcastle.
Although Melbourne are likely to start hot favourites you can’t dismiss the chances of Newcastle in this as they are enjoying their best run of form this campaign.
Victory have been ramp of late and go into this off the back of a 4-1 trouncing of Central Coast while Newcastle split the points with Wellington in a highly entertaining 2-2 draw.
MUSCAT’S MEN FIRING
Kevin Muscat has his side playing some really desirable football and the moment and the results have been devastating.
Winners of five of their past six games, they have scored 15 goals during this run while conceding just three – fantastic stats for any side no matter what competition you are playing in.
JETS ARE SOARING
After going seven matches without a win, Mark Jones’ side is now unbeaten in their last three after collecting seven out of a possible nine points. Wins against bogey teams Perth and Adelaide have been the highlights during this run in where they have scored two goals a game.
Traditionally this is where we could fine some value as Newcastle always give Melbourne a hard time.
Although the Victory beat Newcastle 2-0 back in Round 8, which made it three wins from their past six clashes, the Jets have won two of those six while the other result was a 1-1 draw late last season.
And in familiar pattern neither team has managed to score more than one goal, barring the most recent clash, whenever they have played each other since late 2014.
HOW IT PANS OUT
Newcastle has been resilient of late but their efforts on the road could be the deciding factor in this.
They have just four points from five road fixtures which puts them in the bottom third of the A-league for that particular statistic. Making their task even harder here is that Melbourne Victory have only lost one game as the ‘home’ side and have scored the most goals (17) when playing host.
Victory are in fine form at the moment with Marco Rojas and Besart Berisha scoring on a regular basis during the team’s rich vein of form, however, it could be an ex-teammate of theirs that could bring about their undoing here.
Andrew Nabbout has been one of the buys of the season and has sparked Newcastle’s revival of late. If he can continue to provide quality service to his strikers from the midfield then the Jets are definitely a chance to at least leave with a point here.
The one variable you have to consider highly if you are thinking of backing Melbourne Victory is that this game is at Simonds Stadium. Although they have played games at the venue it isn’t their regular home ground.
THE TIP:MELBOURNE VICTORY
– we think they might be a little too strong for Newcastle
TOTAL GOALS OVER/UNDER 2.5:UNDERS
– if recent history is anything to go by this one will be close