Melb Victory vs Perth Glory Betting Preview | A-League Betting Tips

The high flying Glory will be put to the test when they travel to Melbourne to take on the Victory in Round 23.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 9 Mar, 9:42 AM

The high flying Glory will be put to the test when they travel to Melbourne to take on the Victory in Round 23.

Perth has not won in its past five matches away to Melbourne but in their current form they are a big chance of bucking that trend as they head into this game having picked up points over the past five weeks.

Melbourne Victory had their four-game point streak snapped by Sydney FC last week when going down 1-0 at Allianz in very wet conditions.

BRUTAL

Melbourne Victory clearly enjoys playing in front of their home fans.

They lead the league in points (25) and goals (29) from their 11 games when playing at home, which is just in front of Sydney FC who has played a game less in familiar surrounds.

Kevin Muscat’s side hasn’t lost in the A-league at AAMI Park this season and has 13 goals at the venue from their six games, with the other five home matches played at Etihad Stadium.

Their only defeat at AAMI Park came early in the season in the FFA Cup against Melbourne City.

GLORY BOUND?

Perth go into this as one of the form teams of the competition.

With three wins and two draws from their past five matches they are currently enjoying their best run of form in 2016/17.

The likes of Diego Castro, Adam Taggart and Andy Keogh have all been firing during the past five weeks which has seen them average three goals a game during this span. Attacking is definitely not a problem for Kenny Lowe’s side but defence remains a problem as highlighted by the 3-3 draw against Wellington last week.

THE HISTORY

Perth hasn’t lost to Victory since the 2015 FFA Cup Final which is a span of five matches.

Their two meetings this season resulted in a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 result to Perth.

In their first game of the current campaign, Melbourne Victory peppered the Perth goal but couldn’t get more than one past Liam Reddy while the 2-1 win by the Glory came during Melbourne’s mini slump that saw them drop three straight.

THE VERDICT

Expect plenty of goals in this one as two of the best attacking teams in the competition collide.

Ranked second (Victory) and third (Perth) for goals scored this campaign, their totals of 43 and 44 respectively are just behind league leaders Sydney FC who have 45 going into Round 23.

Although Perth’s strikers have been running hot lately the team need to stop leaking goals. They have a plus/minus differential of +3 which means they are conceding 1.81 goals per game which is second-worst in the comp behind the Mariners and worse than Adelaide.

Considering that attacking is the strong suit of both sides then the Total Goals market could be where you will find some value. The $3.75 that William Hill have for Over 4.5 Goals looks awfully tempting.

When it comes to the overall result though Victory are short with plenty of the bookies and we don’t think there is that much of a gulf between the sides.

Sure, Melbourne Victory are very good at home but Perth’s recent run of good form gives them a chance here if they have recovered sufficiently from their trip to New Zealand last week.

 

THE TIP:  

DRAW – you can bring up strong cases for both sides here so it could turn out to be a sharing of the points

 

TOTAL GOALS OVER/UNDER 3.5:  

OVER 3.5

 

1st GOALSCORER:  

BESART BERISHA – the Victory hitman has scored in five of the past six games against Perth including the first one in two of those

 

 

 

 

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