Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar Betting Preview | A-League Betting Tips

Both teams are backing up from midweek commitments so who has the extra miles to get the job done here?

Oddschecker
 | 
Sat, 18 Mar, 3:14 AM

Both teams are backing up from midweek commitments so who has the extra miles to get the job done here?

 

Adelaide enjoyed last week off in their home State but had to deal with Asian Champions League commitments midweek.

 

Brisbane, too, had the week off but had to travel overseas to take on Kashima Antlers in the ACL and a return trip to Australia to face the struggling champions is the last thing they would have wanted.

 

PLAYING FOR PRIDE

Playing a wounded opponent can be a dangerous thing.

 

When a team begins playing for pride they inevitably lift to another level and prove to be nuisance value for teams that are more fancied than they are.

 

On that basis Adelaide is playing for pride here because they are anchored to the bottom of the A-league table by five points and need to start picking up wins if they are any chance of avoiding the wooden spoon. To be given the dubious honour, just 12 months from their premiership, would be a big insult and is surely something that is driving the players in the final five weeks of the competition.

 

FINALS ON THEIR MIND

John Aloisi’s side has one eye on the finals but they cannot afford to drop their bundle as their finishing spot on the table is far from assured.

 

They are currently locked in a three-way battle for third and mathematically can still finish as low as sixth by the end of the regular season.

 

Brisbane showed tremendous resilience to come back from 1-nil down against Newcastle a fortnight ago to win 3-1, however, their opponents were reduced to 10 men with an hour to play. Prodding and probing, the Roar finally found a way through to equalize in the 62nd minute before getting two more to seal the deal.

 

They are now unbeaten in four straight away games.

 

THE HISTORY

Adelaide have had the measure of Brisbane in recent times by winning twice and drawing once in their past four clashes.

 

The Roar will go into this with a bit of confidence though as they smashed the Reds 4-0 the last time they played but it must be said that the game was at Suncorp.

 

Brisbane’s record in Adelaide isn’t great lately with the Reds handling them in their past two encounters at Coopers Stadium.

 

Clashes between these two often produce goals so a tilt at the Total Goals Over/Under could be the way to go. We think Over 3.5 could be value (@ $2.75 - William Hill) with an average of 3.33 goals between them since 2015.

 

THE VERDICT

 

All things considered Adelaide are a slight chance at causing an upset.

 

Despite a season from hell, their solitary three wins for the season have all come at home while Brisbane actually boast a negative differential (-2) in their 11 games away from Suncorp.

 

It is no secret that Brisbane don’t like road trips but John Aloisi has got them to perform better on away trips of late but that doesn’t give us a great deal of confidence to take the short odds about them winning.

 

One thing Aloisi has done is sure up their defence from last season. Even though they are ranked third in terms of goals conceded, they have kept just one clean sheet in their past six outings and strangely enough that was against the rampaging Sydney FC.

 

Teams with finals ambitions definitely don’t want banana peel games and this definitely looks like one of those.

 

We think Brisbane should win but we definitely won’t be staking the house on it.

 

 

THE MATCH TIP:       BRISBANE

TOTAL GOALS OVER/UNDER 3.5:   OVER 3.5

1st GOALSCORER:     JAMIE MACLAREN – the Roar striker has scored in his past four away games and opened the scoring in three of those

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