There will be goals galore when these two fight for survival on Sunday night.
We only have to look back to this corresponding fixture seven days ago which produced a whopping nine goals in what turned out to be a 5-4 thriller over at nib Stadium in the west.
That win will give Perth a bit of confidence going into this as they have now won consecutive games after a mini slump.
Melbourne City, on the other hand, are heading into the Elimination Final with three defeats in their past four games but there were some positive signs in last week’s defeat after they fought back from 4-1 down at one stage.
Of the teams left in finals series, Perth has the worst road record of the lot.
Kenny Lowe’s outfit has won just twice in away fixtures but have come away with six draws. Of their 13 trips away from nib Stadium, five have ended in defeat while their last victory on the road was against Adelaide (5-0) on February 10.
Scoring has been a big issue on the Glory’s travels with an average of just 1.69 goals per game, however, if you take out the five they put past Adelaide then you can really see how poor they are on the road.
LIMPING INTO THE FINALS
Coach Michael Valkanis would have hoped that City could have built some momentum going into the finals but alas that isn’t the case.
Three defeats in their past four outings isn’t a great sign and it’s even more concerning that each one of those losses were against a top six side. Over the past six weeks, Melbourne City has also won three games but they were against the bottom three teams in the competition (Central Coast, Newcastle, Adelaide).
Of the teams left in the competition, City’s defence is ranked fifth having conceded 44 goals in 27 games with Perth (53) only worse.
These teams always put on a show and Sunday’s eliminator probably won’t be any different.
In their previous six clashes there has been an average of 5.166 goals scored per game! Having tipped Oddschecker readers into the Over 3.5 last week at the juicy odds of $7, we are going for the Overs once again. This time, take the $3.45 @ Sportsbet for Over 4.5 Goals.
City is yet to win in three games against Perth this season while one of the Glory’s two away wins for 2016/17 was at AAMI Park back in October when they secured a 3-2 win.
It is the second straight year the teams will meet in the Elimination Final with last year’s result going the way of City thanks to a Bruno Fornaroli double.
This is a really hard one to pick.
We don’t want to take the shorts about a team that is down on confidence which is what City appears to be, so on that basis, we are leaning towards Perth at the value ($3.80 @ bet365).
Their form on the road has been poor to say the least and their plus/minus differential (-5) in away fixtures is the worst of any of the top six teams, however, we are going on their win at this venue earlier in the season.
City have struggled ever since winning the FFA Cup Final in November and one of their biggest losses in Fernando Brandan has really seen their attack struggle in recent weeks.
Sit back and enjoy what should be a fascinating game with plenty of work expected for both goalies.
If you are looking at goal scorer markets when look no further than Timmy Cahill. He has netted three goals in his past two games against the Glory while on the other side of the fence, Diego Castro has five goals in six games versus City.
OVER 4.5 GOALS – TOTAL GOALS OVER/UNDER