Don’t let all the flair fool you, Liverpool have finally developed a steely side. A ground-out win against Crystal Palace on Monday showed they’re able to win ugly; withstanding some heavy second-half pressure against a big Palace side.
However, Liverpool will not need to use any of this steel against a Brighton side who are horrific travellers. Forget their stunning 3-2 win over Manchester United at Old Trafford, Chris Hughton’s side are a totally animal away from home…and not in a good way.
While Liverpool were unbeaten at Anfield last season, Brighton won just twice away from home, and this poor form on the road has shown no sign of changing this campaign, losing dismally 2-0 at Watford.
Expect something akin to Liverpool’s 4-0 final day victory over Brighton last season, though there is little value of backing a simple home walkover, so instead I’m backing Liverpool to win both halves against The Seagulls.
I’m expecting domination pretty much from start to finish. I’ll stress again, this will not be the same Brighton side who dominated Manchester United last week. Shane Duffy and co. will be throwing themselves in the way of countless Liverpool shots for the whole 90 minutes.
The Seagulls are also a side who are no strangers to losing their heads away from home when things aren’t going their way (which is a lot of the time) – Anthony Knockaert’s ridiculous horror-tackle away at Everton last season is evidence of this – so don’t be surprised to see the visitors rack up a few cards.
Put these together and you get a very interesting Request-A-Bet from one of our customers: Liverpool to have over 7.5 corners and Brighton to amass over 1.5 bookings. This will be one of my tips for this fixture as well.
If there’s one thing I love, it’s a proper throwback footballer. A footballer who cares not for opposition reputations or media pressure; a footballer who wouldn’t look out of place on the mud-bath pitches of the 70s.
Glenn Murray is this footballer in question. Promoted with Brighton age 33, pretty much written off as an effective marksman at this level, and then proceeds to score 12 Premier League goals; more than Alvaro Morata and Sadio Mane.
He’s an old-school, combative centre-forward who loves bullying defenders. But if there’s one thing he loves more than scoring, it’s getting booked. Murray’s nine yellow cards last season came mostly from pre-meditated naughtiness, and I am absolutely convinced he is getting booked against Liverpool – presumably after ploughing a lone furrow for 85 minutes.
Glenn Murray to be booked is a dead cert for me.