Let’s start off with the glamour tie: Belarus v Luxembourg. Both sides find themselves in red hot form: one defeat for each side in their last six matches – and as the top two sides in their Nations League group, this match will be massively influential in the battle for promotion to the Promised Land of League C.
Though Belarus could only muster a 0-0 draw away at Moldova last match – whereas Luxembourg beat them 4-0 at home – the Belarussian home advantage may prove telling here; the sides look relatively evenly matched and have very similar records; I’m going for a draw, which is also a very good price.
Though Switzerland impressed me in their 1-0 defeat to England last month, I’m still backing the Belgians to beat them relatively comfortably. Roberto Martinez’s side have won 10 of their last 11 matches – yes, the one they lost was the World Cup semi-final to France, which is ultimately what matters most, but it’s still an impressive record – though Switzerland find themselves in a strong position in this Nations League group, having thrashed Iceland 6-0 already.
I don’t see any problems for the Belgians here (who themselves beat Iceland 3-0 away from home), and although the price here isn’t particularly special, it adds a little meat to the bone of this acca – a home win looks a bit of a banker.
Hungary beat Greece 2-1 at home back in September, but I’m expecting the opposite scoreline this time around. Prior to their victory over the Greeks, Hungary had lost four in five – including an away defeat to Finland – and this fallibility makes me believe they’ll suffer at the hands of Greece in what promises to be a cauldron in Athens. Greece have also won their last three home matches against Hungary, so I’m backing that run to continue on Friday.
I couldn’t leave out the England match could I?! Although I’ve previously tipped England to draw away at Croatia, I don’t want to hinge this acca on it – therefore as a finisher, I’ve gone for an England win/draw double chance.
Look, we all know what happened in the World Cup (as much as I try and permanently erase that from my memory), but after their 6-0 humiliation in Spain last month, Croatia are currently in much worse shape than England, who will fancy a result in Rijeka. This one is being played behind closed doors, which I suppose maybe favours England, and although the odds of this double chance won’t win you life changing sums of money, it still nicely boosts the value of this acca.