Unfortunately, Spurs fans, I don’t see this being a particularly happy afternoon for you.
Manchester City have pretty much picked up from where they left off last season, and are looking terrifyingly imperious. Their convincing 3-0 drubbing of Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League – who are an incredibly good side at home – sees them head into this fixture with plenty of momentum.
The case isn’t quite the same for Mauricio Pochettino’s men: their 2-2 draw against PSV Eindhoven effectively ended any realistic hopes of progressing to the knockout rounds, and I don’t expect them to dust themselves down in time for this crunch match.
Spurs have been a little unconvincing at Wembley, too. Resounding defeats against Liverpool and Barcelona – two sides of a similar quality to City – doesn’t stand them in particularly good stead; there’s always an underlying worry that Spurs just can’t perform on the truly biggest stages.
Then there’s Hugo Lloris. The Spurs ‘keeper has seen an increasing number of errors creep into his game, particularly in massive matches (PSV and Barcelona have already benefited from Hugo howlers), and he’s starting to become a liability.
He made two big gaffes in Spurs’ 2-2 draw with City a couple of seasons back, and his decision making looks shot to pieces – City know this full well, and will look to take advantage of it.
City were probably the better side against Liverpool at Anfield, and were a skied penalty away from winning, and I see them winning quite convincingly; Guardiola’s men beat Spurs twice last season at an aggregate of 7-2, and with the gulf between the two sides still significant, I don’t see any other result other than an away win.
With six league goals to his name already this season, it’s looking like it’ll be another vintage year for Sergio Agüero.
A few seasons ago, there were murmurings that Gabriel Jesus was on the cusp of usurping Agüero from his starting centre-forward position, amidst rumours that the Argentine was on his way out of the club.
Well, it’s not quite panned out that way.
Agüero scored 21 Premier League goals in just 25 appearances last season, and he looks to be playing as well as he’s ever played in his career.
This next tip is simple: Agüero to score at any time. He has a great record against Spurs as well (10 goals in 12 matches), so I’m confident he’ll add to that tally on Monday night.
You want value? I’ll give you value!
Manchester City will win this, I have no doubts about it, but as you’d expect there isn’t that much value in simply backing a City win.
However, if you back a City win with the added caveat of the scores being level at half-time, you can get odds of $5.20! That’s over $5, simply for the teams to go in level at half-time before Pep’s men do their thing.
It could easily pan out like the Liverpool game, where the teams somewhat nullify each other before City grow more and more into the game.
I love the look of this bet, and I love the price even more.