EPL Saturday Night Best Bets - Matchweek 12
Cardiff v Brighton – 11:30PM
They only won two away games last season, but we’re backing Brighton to win this match.
Chris Hughton’s side dug in to beat Newcastle 1-0 at St. James’ Park a few weeks ago, and there’s no doubt they have a superior team to Cardiff. The fact that the Bluebirds lost 2-1 to an absolutely dreadful Burnley side at The Cardiff City Stadium makes me relatively confident of an away win.
Yes, Cardiff beat Fulham at home, but that was against a team who are on course to concede over 100 goals this season, which is a trait Hughton sides never possess. Albion will be well-organised and tough to beat, and I can see them nicking this match; with odds longer than $3*, it’s massively priced, too.
Southampton v Watford – 2:00AM
We fancy Watford to beat Southampton at St. Mary’s.
The Hornets are a funny side: they lose 4-0 at home to Bournemouth, beat Wolves at Molineux, only to then lose to previously-winless Newcastle at St. James’. After their brilliant start to the season, Watford have started to look massively inconsistent.
However, Southampton are awful. Absolutely awful.
The Saints are winless at home – their latest result being a horrific 0-0 draw with Newcastle – and should they catch Watford on a good day, they will lose this match.
The visitors being bigger than $3* to beat this terrible Southampton side is too good to turn down.
Newcastle v Bournemouth – 2:00AM
Newcastle United may have secured their first Premier League win of the season against Watford last weekend, but we’re backing them to come crashing back down to earth at the hands of high-flying Bournemouth.
In truth, Newcastle were absolutely battered by Watford, and we never quite know how they emerged from the contest with all three points.
However, this win is actually good news for this treble! The price for Bournemouth to win is now much higher than it otherwise would have been (they’re still favourites, mind), and they themselves were mightily unlucky to lose to Manchester United at The Vitality.
The Cherries have won their last two away games against Watford and Fulham 4-0 and 3-0 respectively, so we have absolutely no hesitation in backing them to beat a poor Newcastle side.
Crystal Palace v Tottenham – 4:30AM
Though they secured a good 2-2 draw with Arsenal in their last home game, Palace’s form at Selhurst has been very poor on the whole; two goals on their own turf all season is pretty pathetic. Combine this with Spurs, who have six away wins from seven in the league, and you fear for Palace’s chances.
The Eagles’ reliance on Wilfried Zaha has certainly hindered them far more than it’s helped them this season; their talisman has scored just three goals this campaign, which partially explains the paltry eight goals the entire team has been able to muster.
I like tipping Spurs away wins because despite them being better on the road than at Wembley, the value is still really good; the fact that Palace have two points from their last six matches suggests an away win is an inevitability.