The first of our six Nations League best bets for November’s international break starts in Croatia, who welcome Spain to their shores.
Following England’s superb 3-2 win over the Spanish last month, this group is now beautifully poised, with first place still very much to play for.
We're confident, however, that Spain will win on Thursday, giving England no chance of winning the group, but needing just a point against Croatia at Wembley on Sunday to avoid relegation.
The Croats were lucky to escape with a draw at home to England in that eerie, behind-closed-doors match last month, and they’re likely to be outclassed by a Spanish side who demolished them 6-0 in September.
Spain’s defeat against England was more down to the brilliance of Southgate’s men, and we're not expecting a similar result here; Spain will beat this Croatia side who look a shadow of their World Cup-selves.
As we head down to League C, we're expecting Hungary to beat Estonia at home.
Overall it’s been a stodgy Nations League campaign for the Hungarians so far, winning just one of their four matches so far (against Greece) – this run including a 3-3 draw with Estonia away from home.
However, a caveat for Hungary’s below-bar points haul is that only one of their four matches have been at home – that being the Greece win – and therefore I’m expecting results to pick up, starting with a victory over Estonia on Thursday.
This will be a routine Georgia win over Andorra.
The League D Group 1 leaders have four wins from four, and they play an Andorra side who have recently suffered 3-0 and 4-0 defeats against Georgia (the home leg) and Kazakhstan respectively, and sit bottom of the group.
No issues whatsoever here, Georgia should canter to victory.
In the longest shot of the four matches, I’m backing Luxembourg to beat Belarus at home.
Group leaders Luxembourg are a big price to win this – potentially because Belarus beat them 1-0 in October – however the hosts have won their other three matches; they sit one point above Belarus, who drew both home and away against a dreadful Moldova outfit.
Luxembourg have won their two home matches a 4-0 and 3-0, and I’m backing them to beat Belarus and cement their place at the top of the group.