Though the Netherlands are certainly a side on the up, we like $2.37 for them to succumb to France on Friday.
The world champions are leading Group 1 of League A and, if they avoid defeat, are guaranteed to top the group and head into the play-offs.
They may be inexperienced, but Ronald Koeman’s Dutch side still beat Germany 3-0 back in October, and will prove to be a stiff test for the French.
Didier Deschamps’ men have won eight of their last 10 competitive matches, and are an excellent price to beat this promising-but-green Netherlands outfit.
Having lost both of their Nations League matches this season, I’m expecting Slovakia to complete an unfortunate hat-trick and lose against Ukraine.
Slovakia lost the away leg against Ukraine 1-0 in Lviv in September, and since then have fallen to a poor 2-1 home defeat against the Czech Republic.
Then we have Ukraine, who have recorded three wins out of three so far; once again, the price for the visitors - who are a far superior side to Slovakia – to register an away win is massive.
Finally, we have Wales and Denmark to draw in Cardiff to round off our best bets.
Denmark beat Wales relatively convincingly at home – and we believe they are a better side the Welsh on paper – though the disparity between their home form and away form is drastic: in their last five away matches, Denmark have lost three and drawn two, compared to four wins and one draw in their last five at home.
Wales made short work of Ireland in the Nations League – beating them 4-1 – while Denmark could only muster a turgid 0-0 draw when they travelled to Dublin; these two will be tough to separate.
We believe Wales’ home advantage will cancel out Denmark’s slightly superior squad, making a draw look a likely outcome.