Our early kick-off sees Serbia take on Montenegro, which will have a big say in the Group 4 (of League C) promotion race. Considering they are playing a pointless Lithuania side in their final group match, victory here will be a massive step towards promotion for the Serbians. They lead the group with eight points - one point and one place above Saturday’s visitors Montenegro.
For this one, we're backing a Serbian victory; they beat Montenegro 2-0 back in October away from home, and still lead the group despite playing three of their four matches on the road.
Aleksandar Mitrovic has cemented himself as Serbia’s talisman - scoring four goals in his last three Nations League matches - and having a consistent goalscorer is what separates sides at this level.
A home win looks massively likely here, so don’t let the early kick-off time put you off!
Down in League D, Group 3, we're expecting Azerbaijan to beat the Faroe Islands at home.
In the reverse fixture, the Faroe Islands succumbed 3-0 on home soil, and we don’t see them getting anything from this tie against a side who are unbeaten in the tournament.
Indeed, Azerbaijan has lost just once in their last eight matches and will be keen to extend this run. The Faroe Islands have also conceded seven goals in their four Nations League matches, which further convinces us that Azerbaijan will secure a comfortable win on Saturday.
We remain in Group 3 for the next match, as Kosovo is set to register a comfortable win over Malta.
The Maltese have just two points from their four group matches – which is pitiful in League D – and they will not be adding to that tally after table-topping Kosovo come to town.
Though Kosovo has only managed away draws against Azerbaijan and the Faroe Islands, their opponents this time around are a lot weaker, and considering Malta have suffered home defeats to Luxembourg and Georgia (who had ten men for 40 minutes), we don’t see them having enough quality to get anything from this game.
With Russia on the brink of promotion to League A, Turkey v Sweden match will make the relegation picture crystal clear: a Turkey win relegates Sweden; a Swedish win relegates Turkey; a draw will mean Sweden must beat in-form Russia in their final match – we love the Nations League!
Though Turkey’s form in this tournament has been pretty poor (they have lost to Russia home and away), they came from 2-0 down to beat Sweden 3-2 away from home, which makes us believe they’ll repeat the trick in Konya on Saturday.
The Swedes haven’t won since the World Cup, and $2.40* is a great price for Turkey to claim the points considering the home advantage; this is the riskiest part of the multi, but it bumps the price up to $8*, which is fantastic considering the other results we’ve backed.