EPL Saturday Night Best Bets - Matchweek 16
Bournemouth v Liverpool
Though they were given a small scare by Burnley on Wednesday, Liverpool continues to churn out the wins and keep pace with Manchester City at the top of the Premier League.
The Cherries squeezed past Huddersfield on Tuesday, ending a run of four straight defeats, although I don’t see them repeating this on Saturday against a well-rested side.
Liverpool have a sense of steeliness about them which has seen so many victories ground out; they don’t have the same destructiveness as last season, but they are far more consistent.
Three of Bournemouth’s last four defeats have all been by just one goal, while Liverpool has beaten Everton, Huddersfield, Spurs, Leicester and Brighton by the same margin.
Away from home, Liverpool hasn’t looked hugely convincing at times (especially against Huddersfield and Leicester), making me believe if they do claim the points, it’ll be ugly.
The Cherries have scored 14 goals in their eight home games this season, so don’t be surprised if they do score at some point, but I ultimately see Liverpool edging the victory.
The value for this is much better than a bog-standard win, too.
West Ham v Crystal Palace
With three wins from their last five matches, West Ham is starting to look like a side who can pose some serious problems. The Hammers come into this on the back of 3-0 and 3-1 wins against Newcastle and Cardiff respectively, and I fancy them to beat Crystal Palace at home.
The Eagles were humiliated by ten-man Brighton on Tuesday, and they look like a side totally devoid of creativity and cutting edge. With four defeats from their last five away matches, the omens don’t look good for Roy Hodgson’s men.
Marko Arnautović’s injury against Cardiff is a big blow for the Hammers, but Lucas Pérez’s brace against the Welsh side showcases his own goalscoring capabilities.
West Ham is a good price to win this.
Chelsea vs. Man City
Chelsea heads into this massive clash with Manchester City in a pretty shoddy way: two defeats, one draw and just one victory in their last four Premier League matches – the fear factor that they were developing during their unbeaten start to the season has vanished.
Recent history isn’t on Chelsea’s side either; City have beaten The Blues in two of the last three meetings at Stamford Bridge, and I’m expecting a similar outcome on Saturday.
We all know how fantastic Pep Guardiola’s side have been this season – both at the back and going forward – and I believe it’ll be their defence that wins them this match.
City has kept away clean sheets against Arsenal, Liverpool, Spurs, Cardiff and West Ham this season, and with Chelsea’s centre-forward problems becoming a significant issue for Maurizio Sarri, I fear they will be totally nullified.
The fact that City has gone to Anfield (as well as The Emirates and Wembley) and pretty much dominated, makes me confident they will win and continue their excellent run.
Leicester City vs. Tottenham
With a monstrous 13 goals in his eight matches against Leicester, Harry Kane loves playing against the Foxes.
This next one, therefore, is easy: Kane to score first.
He’s always a great bet to score first anyway, and his record against Leicester makes the probability of this landing all the more likely.