Arsenal v Burnley Tips & Betting Preview
No prizes for guessing how Sean Dyche will approach this.
For the second week in-a-row, Burnley travel to North London, this time to face Arsenal.
Sean Dyche’s side suffered an agonising 1-0 defeat against Spurs last time out – courtesy of a stoppage-time Christian Eriksen winner – but they appear to have regained some of their defensive mojo from last season.
The Clarets were impressively solid for the 90 minutes they shut Spurs out, and will look to follow the same conservative blueprint on Saturday.
Arsenal, who saw their behemoth of an unbeaten run end against Southampton, will hope that Burnley’s defence will be in a more charitable mood than against their North London neighbours, or they could be in for a frustrating afternoon.
There have been definite signs of improvement from Burnley. Their 3-1 defeat against Liverpool doesn’t do them justice, but they followed that up with an excellent – and much needed – 1-0 win against Brighton. They have been awful for large parts of the season, but I wouldn’t condemn them to relegation just yet.
For that reason, I’m backing under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Just 33% of Arsenal’s home matches have seen over 2.5 scored, and considering they are playing a Burnley side who will purely try to frustrate them, $1.91 is a really nice price.
So here’s an amazing stat: Arsenal haven’t been winning at half-time once this season.
71% of their matches have been level at the break, while six of Burnley’s nine away from home have seen the scores level at half-time.
Not only this, but 0-0 is the most common half-time scoreline for Arsenal and Burnley’s home and away matches respectively.
This has ‘slow burner’ written all over it (which is just how Sean likes it), and for that reason I’m backing the score to be goalless at half-time.
It’s $4.20, and when you look at how these two sides have operated this campaign, it’s a very tempting proposition.
My final tip is for the last goal of the match to be scored between 76 minutes and full-time.
Within this time period, Arsenal have scored 10 goals and Burnley have conceded 9; no other period has seen more goals scored or conceded respectively.
Stats don’t always tell the full story, but in this case, it’s a great proposition.