Liverpool v Porto Tips & Betting Preview

Can Porto improve on last season's Anfield annihilation?

Ryan Elliott
Mon, 8 Apr, 3:49 PM

I’m sure I won’t be alone when saying this fixture won’t be my primary concern on Wednesday morning, but there’s still value to be found in Liverpool v Porto.

The two sides met in last year’s competition – where Liverpool killed the tie off with a 5-0 first-leg win at Anfield – and Jurgen Klopp will be desperate to once again end proceedings after the first 90 minutes; particularly with the Premier League title race seemingly going to the wire.

Liverpool are more reserved than last season – sacrificing a little attacking intent for a lot more defensive stability – meaning, while I still see them winning, it won’t be as emphatic a result as last time around.

They do look very handy at Estádio do Dragão, but I simply can’t see Porto laying a glove on Liverpool at Anfield. Red Star Belgrade, Napoli and Bayern Munich have all failed to beat Alisson on home soil (as well as a whole host of Premier League teams), which is why my first tip is for Liverpool to win to nil.

An away goal would give Porto a glimmer of hope heading into the second-leg, and Liverpool will make sure that doesn’t happen.   

Six penalties have been scored (by either side) in Porto’s eight Champions League matches this season, and I wanted to go down this route for my next tip.

You’ll get odds of around $3 for a penalty to be awarded in the match – which doesn’t present much value – but for Liverpool to score a penalty you’ll get odds of $5.50, which is a little more like it.

If Liverpool are awarded a penalty and James Milner is on the pitch, you can be sure it’ll be stuck away; this is certainly worthy of consideration.

He’s not found the net as regularly as he’d like of late, but Mo Salah’s performance levels have generally still been strong.

The Egyptian is Liverpool’s joint-second-highest assist provider in the Premier League (7) – behind only Andy Robertson – and I’m backing him to register another one, price-boosted to $3.25.

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