Man City v Leicester Tips & Betting Preview

Pep Guardiola can almost taste a second successive Premier League title.

Ryan Elliott
Fri, 3 May, 11:09 AM

Manchester City v Leicester

Manchester City’s title run-in has been infested with banana skins: the visit of Tottenham, a trip to Old Trafford, breaking down Burnley at Turf Moor. Every time, Pep Guardiola’s men side-step danger and continue on their merry way.

Two more challenges remain. You’d expect City to beat Brighton on the final day (I certainly do, as an Albion fan), but have the stars aligned for this in-form, Jamie Vardy-infused, Leicester City side—with former Liverpool manager Brendan Rodgers at the helm, of course—to have a huge say in where the Premier League trophy will end up?

No player has scored more Premier League goals since Brendan’s arrival than Jamie Vardy, and with five goals against top six opposition under his belt this season, is he the man to derail Manchester City? Don’t forget, Leicester did beat City at the King Power on Boxing Day; this is not a forgone conclusion.

On recent evidence, City simply look too mechanised and efficient to falter here. Leicester will threaten them, but considering the hosts have won all-but one Premier League match at The Etihad this season, I just can’t quite see the Foxes causing an upset here – despite five wins from their last seven.

However, $1.16 for a City win is a pathetic price, so there’s no point backing that. Instead, my first tip is for the scores to be level after 30 minutes. Though Leicester’s last seven matches have seen 22 goals go in (at both ends), only three have come before the half-hour mark.

With the pace of Vardy, Brendan will be happy to sit back, frustrate City and wait for counter-attacking opportunities to appear.

Only two sides average a higher number of corners-per-match than The Foxes (5.72); one of them is Manchester City, with 7.81.

Leicester’s ability to pose a constant threat on the counter-attack means the City goal is never quite safe, which is a big reason as to why the visitors have garnered so many corners this season, even if they spend the whole match on the back foot.

The average Leicester game has seen 10.89 total corners, and at just under evens, I like over 10.5 corners as a play.

My longshot is for Manchester City to win 2-1, priced at $11.

I really do think Leicester will score. Fernandinho is a doubt for City (a big blow for Guardiola), and while I’ve banged on about him, the Vardy factor simply cannot be underestimated. He thrives off these huge occasions, and he’d love nothing more than to spoil City’s party.

Of course, Manchester City might stick three or four past Kasper Schmeichel, but Cardiff, West Ham and Spurs have all prevented City from scoring more than twice in their last four home matches.

While I expect City to win, it could be a nail-biter (much like the wins against Burnley and Spurs), which is why I like $11* for a 2-1 home win.

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