On paper these two are the weakest sides in Group F, so this is a must-win match before games against Mexico and Germany if they are to have hopes of progressing to the knockout stages. In fact, we rank South Korea as the worst side of all the teams at the World Cup. They lost at all of Iran, China and Qatar in qualifying, while they were held to 0-0 draws in their trips to Syria and Uzbekistan.
Sweden, meanwhile, beat France in their qualifying group before stunning Italy in the play-offs. They’ve struggled for goals since securing their place here as they’ve managed to net just twice in their last seven matches. However, South Korea have kept just one clean sheet in their last 17 matches against UEFA nations we had ranked in the world’s top 100, and Janne Andersson’s side should only need one goal to secure the three points.
While they’ve found scoring difficult of late the Swedish defence has been very well organised and has kept six clean sheets in their last nine matches. That’s contributed to five of their last six matches having fewer than two goals and Under 2.5 should be a banker.
Marcus Berg has spent most of his career in the shadow of Zlatan Ibrahimovic but having struck eight times during qualification he’s the main man now and he’ll look to feed off the dangerous crosses and set pieces from Emil Forsberg.
Sweden are physically one of the tallest and strongest squads in the tournament and have a clear advantage in this matchup. Half of Berg’s goals in qualifying came with his head and that could be his route to goal here, but he’s definitely worth backing to open the scoring.