2019 Australian Open - Men's Betting Preview
Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer are chasing history at Melbourne Park and again look the men to beat in the year’s first Grand Slam.
The year was 2008. Novak Djokovic broke through for his first Grand Slam victory as a 21-year-old at Melbourne Park. The other three grand slams of the year were shared between superstars Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal - who had combined to win the previous 11 before Djokovic's triumph.
Fast forward 10 years on and the same three men shared the four grand slams of 2018 and have dominated tennis for the past decade and still own the top three positions in the world rankings. While each player has aged and had to overcome significant injuries, they are still the three dominant players in their sport and remarkably, it looks set to continue for at least another 12 months.
No man has ever won seven Australian Open titles, a record both Novak Djokovic and two-time reigning champion Roger Federer will be seeking to achieve in the next fortnight. Djokovic ($2.10) comes into the tournament as the clear favourite and rightly so. The World No. 1 won 35 of his last 38 matches to finish 2018 including Wimbledon and US Open to rank him alongside Pete Sampras with 14 Grand Slam titles. Djokovic played in Doha last week for his lead into the Australian Open and suffered a shock loss in the semi-final to Roberto Bautista-Agut after leading by a set and a break. That’s nothing to be concerned about and again is the man to beat at Melbourne Park.
Roger Federer ($5.50) turns 38 in 2019 but has shown no signs that he’s slowing down. Federer won his 6th Australian open in 2018 and a further three titles to sit on 99 for his career. What a magical moment it would be if he could reach the century mark in Melbourne. Crucially for Federer, he has been drawn on the opposite half to Djokovic with a dream final very much on the cards.
Rafael Nadal ($10) hasn't played a competitive match since his withdrawal in the US Open semi-final. He has stated publically he is fit and healthy but his fitness has to be a concern after withdrawing from the Brisbane International last week. Nadal who is the No. 2 seed is in the same half as Federer as well dangerous duo Kevin Anderson ($34) and Marin Cilic ($26) who look the two most likely to challenge the status quo.
World No. 4 Alexander Zverev ($12) is aiming to become the youngest Grand Slam winner since Juan Martin Del Potro (who won’t be in action at Melbourne Park) triumphed at Flushing Meadows in 2009. Zverev has only made a final four of a Grand Slam once and only reached the quarter finals at Roland Garros last year. He did win the season-ending ATP Finals in London last year, defeating Novak Djokovic in the final but his form in five-set tennis is still not good enough to be considered a serious threat in the opening Grand Slam of the year.
We’re not going out on a limb here but Novak Djokovic ($2.10) is the clear standout and looks the likely winner. If you’re hunting slightly more value, we like Roger Federer ($2.50) to make the final with a potential saver on Federer ($5.50) to win the tournament as it’s a very probable Djokovic v Federer final.
Quarter 2 looks wide open with Zverev ($3) favoured to make the final four. Nick Kyrgios ($7) is equal second favourite in this market with Borna Coric ($7) but we think Kyrgios will struggle to get out of the first round. His opponent Milos Raonic ($9) looks an appealing bet here. Raonic faces Kyrgios in the first round and is a previous semi-finalist in Melbourne back in 2016. His 23-8 record at the Australian Open ranks only behind Wimbledon (24-8) as his best Grand Slam and could be the one to make a deep run.
Quarter 4 also looks like there could be value with Rafael Nadal ($2) battling fitness. If he’s 100% fit, he’s almost a lock to make it out this quarter but there’s enough doubt to lean towards the value of Kevin Anderson ($5.50) who shot up the rankings in 2018 and even Diego Schwartzman ($26) as a big smokey.
- - Novak Djokovic to win the Australian Open
- - Roger Federer to make the final
- - Milos Raonic Quarter 2 winner
- - Kevin Anderson Quarter 4 winner
**All odds correct at time of publishing with BetEasy