Australian Open Best Bets - Day 6

Two unseeded Aussies look to continue their dream run at the Australian Open on Day 6 while both No. 1 seeds are in action.

Oddschecker
Fri, 18 Jan, 12:00 AM

(1) Novak Djokovic vs. (25) Denis Shapovalov

 

It’s been a breezy start for the six-time Australian Open champion Novak Djokovic as he aims to become the first man to lift the Norman Brookes Challenge Cup for a seventh time. Standing in his way in the third round is Canadian teenager Denis Shapovalov who’s also yet to lose a set this tournament and has already bettered his performance of last year’s second round appearance at Melbourne Park. Last year he became the youngest man to reach the top 30 in the world since 2005 but is yet to face Djokovic in his career. Djokovic has been playing irresistible tennis since the middle of 2018 after fully recovering from injury and should be able to brush aside the young upcoming star.

 

 

Key Stat: Novak Djokovic has a 77-11 W/L record on hard court from 2016 onwards and has won his last seven Grand Slam matches in straight sets.

 

Our Tip: Novak Djokovic-7.5 games @ $2 with Sportsbet

 

(28) Lucas Pouille vs. Alex Popyrin

 

It’s easily the biggest match of largely unknown Aussie, Alex Popyrin’s life on Margaret Court Arena on Saturday night. Coming into 2019, the teenager had achieved a career-high ranking of 147 thanks to a successful year on the Challenger circuit and achieving his first ATP level victory against countryman Matt Enden in Switzerland. He’s riding high after knocking out World No. 8 Dominic Thiem in the second round after leading 7-5 6-4 2-0 before Thiem retired and certainly has more than a puncher's chance against 28th seed Lucas Pouille. Before this year, Pouille has never won an Australian Open match from five attempts and has never thrived in Australian conditions. Leading up to this year’s tournament, Pouille lost all three matches at the Hopman Cup (all featured tiebreaks) before a first-round exit at Brisbane. It’s a hard match to asses with the lack of matches Popyrin has played at the level but we think it can go deep into the first set.

 

 

Key Stat: Lucas Pouille has played a first set tiebreak in four of his last five Grand Slam main draw matches.

 

Our tip: First set total games over 12.5 @ $4 with Sportsbet

 

(4) Alexander Zverev vs. Alex Bolt

 

Aussie Alex Bolt opens the night session on Rod Laver Arena tonight against 4th seed Alexander Zverev as he looks to cause another big upset. Bolt was a $6+ outsider against veteran Gilles Simon, coming back from two sets to one to clinch a famous victory. Bolt won just one of his eight matches on the ATP Tour last year, which came at s-Hertogenbosch on the grass, his favoured surface. Zverev gets his best opportunity to reach the second week at Melbourne Park for the first time after falling at this hurdle the last two years. His win against Jeremy Chardy was full of character after giving a two-sets-to-love lead before eventually closing out the decider in convincing fashion 6-1. That should hold the young German in good stead and if he continues his hot starts in the opening sets, might be able to put the Aussie away for a convincing win.

 

 

Key Stat: Alexander Zverev has won the first set in each of his last eight matches at the Australian Open.

 

Our tip: Alexander Zverev -6.5 games @ $1.66 with Sportsbet

 

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